TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: Austria O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,315
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$94,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,315 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over9c21,402$1,961 inLost-$1,960.834,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over14c1,594$217 inLost-$217.292,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over15c1,315$197 inLost-$197.243,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c1,213$177 inLost-$176.658,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb76a…9ac8backed Over14c1,071$150 inLost-$1503920.5%8 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44e6…e00abacked Over3c833.42$29 inLost-$28.69147.1%1 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-60.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over12c802.14$98 inLost-$97.632,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over3c700$21 inLost-$212,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Over15c499.99$75 inLost-$7511545.2%52 W · 63 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4d…8cfebacked Over7c499.98$35 inLost-$353318.2%6 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over7c499.26$33 inLost-$32.842,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over14c431.6$60 inLost-$60.422,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1080…142abacked Over14c428.57$60 inLost-$601315.4%2 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3670…18e8backed Over13c400$52 inLost-$526113.1%8 W · 53 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-60.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed Over8c250$20 inLost-$205315.1%8 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-37.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over15c213.33$32 inLost-$3243819.2%84 W · 354 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeec…99c8backed Over15c200$30 inLost-$3011619%22 W · 94 L0.0wins0.00per pick19cpaid-18%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd546…657bbacked Over15c166.67$25 inLost-$253067.8%24 W · 282 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-38.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over13c153.12$20 inLost-$19.9172722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over14c150$21 inLost-$2126344.1%116 W · 147 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38ba…24d1backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost-$153033.3%10 W · 20 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d13…d163backed Over14c107.14$15 inLost-$15618.2%5 W · 56 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-85%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa967…9871backed Over15c100$15 inLost-$156639.4%26 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d61…f6febacked Over13c100$13 inLost-$133754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Over14c100$14 inLost-$1433221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a4…ed34backed Over14c80$11 inLost-$11.27534.7%26 W · 49 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x348a…4b4ebacked Over14c77.93$11 inLost-$10.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d7a…751abacked Over15c72.67$11 inLost-$10.973234.6%253 W · 479 L-22.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.