TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,402,935
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,442,879

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,402,935 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,691 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c407,243$191,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191,778.064,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9243…658ebacked Over54c226,586$122,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,408.5215249.3%75 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x384b…7d78backed Over57c125,031$71,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,463.23540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Under43c101,059$43,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,066.3732031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under43c99,617$43,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,208.6733538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Over49c97,439$47,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49,669.4624533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7923…6c0bbacked Under46c91,260$42,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,205.065147.1%24 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over55c80,281$44,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,785.4274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c74,468$36,823 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,823.151,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Over48c71,506$34,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,212.1756541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under44c58,578$25,913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,912.593,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over57c58,069$33,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,842.631,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6754…e3bcbacked Under45c57,680$25,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,843.215456.5%87 W · 67 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under45c56,692$25,791 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,790.7642541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Over56c50,000$28,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,8759451.1%48 W · 46 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x580d…eb6dbacked Under43c50,000$21,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,3758063.8%51 W · 29 L+8.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x355d…65e0backed Over57c50,000$28,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,3752560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under45c48,395$21,679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,678.8544130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over55c45,290$25,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,289.5217840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb61b…8a06backed Over57c44,950$25,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,535.385959.3%35 W · 24 L+6.9wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+21.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7d6d…2654backed Under45c43,984$19,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,572.792657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc430…1ebfbacked Under42c40,844$17,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,165.428932.6%29 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d2e…896dbacked Over50c40,000$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,00014843.2%64 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe549…2d54backed Over52c38,350$19,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,408.215552.3%81 W · 74 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under50c37,026$18,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,591.752,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Under45c34,669$15,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,559.961957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Under44c34,634$15,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,151.9751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over56c32,578$18,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,278.988,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Under43c30,000$12,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,749.9914343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa078…419abacked Over61c28,986$17,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,311.222055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid-11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f12…8140backed Over43c27,845$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,844.984025%10 W · 30 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-31.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3496…8fc4backed Over55c26,444$14,610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,833.7117034.7%59 W · 111 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-2.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under45c25,250$11,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,248.0725844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over47c22,086$10,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,621.477152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under51c21,000$10,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,627.4731851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c20,698$8,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,851.761,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf742…e039backed Under51c20,201$10,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,227.5426447.7%126 W · 138 L+9.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Over57c20,000$11,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,674.995263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x471d…2fa7backed Over56c19,350$10,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,513.923154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f65…2036backed Over51c19,139$9,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,338.7914248.6%69 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over58c18,620$10,753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,866.927416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f16…bbd9backed Over56c18,407$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,007.081258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under42c18,400$7,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,680.5921849.5%108 W · 110 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x896e…53f2backed Over56c17,864$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,863.5117443.1%75 W · 99 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over57c17,032$9,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,323.714045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e6…9b21backed Over48c16,729$8,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,695.4425339.5%100 W · 153 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over54c15,767$8,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,252.9227345.8%125 W · 148 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+17.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Under47c15,469$7,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,216.123661.1%22 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under50c15,209$7,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,607.0823540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Under45c14,920$6,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,720.3429952.5%157 W · 142 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under57c14,733$8,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,465.8344539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over55c14,523$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,522.5810927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02af…aaa9backed Under45c14,281$6,355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,355.0513448.5%65 W · 69 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa701…47cdbacked Under42c14,200$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,999.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c65…f19dbacked Over53c13,791$7,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,517.51369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.6wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under44c13,223$5,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,819.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8806…2e83backed Under44c12,542$5,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,485.0828229.4%83 W · 199 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-38%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…5030backed Over56c12,500$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,50021937%81 W · 138 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c99…809cbacked Over63c12,055$7,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,403.75580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+16.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over54c12,000$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,52011042.7%47 W · 63 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xace4…bd19backed Under43c11,800$5,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,014.932842.9%12 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under51c11,796$6,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,055.0837650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b9f…2087backed Under4c11,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4055318.9%10 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+115.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe557…85bcbacked Under4c11,000$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3953411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid+34.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under43c10,721$4,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,570.2820724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc83f…ed1ebacked Over56c10,637$5,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,640.37636.8%28 W · 48 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under48c10,625$5,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,10025336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0432…98bbbacked Under2c10,500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2101136.4%4 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.29per pick7cpaid+285%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Under50c10,000$4,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,997.5813742.3%58 W · 79 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Over58c10,000$5,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,1756259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc15b…38afbacked Under42c10,000$4,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,224.993063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4582…619ebacked Over57c10,000$5,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,274.948735.6%31 W · 56 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-36.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Under44c10,000$4,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,374.944531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Under46c9,965$4,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,564.8142345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over55c9,121$4,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,130.058648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under46c9,000$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,14048441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under46c9,000$4,135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,134.9950243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ec…c574backed Under44c8,990$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0008639.5%34 W · 52 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6eb7…3cd4backed Over56c8,850$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.567035.7%25 W · 45 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd42b…baf1backed Over56c8,850$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,849.562152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over57c8,772$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.9316947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb89c…b71dbacked Over58c8,686$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,685.521984.2%16 W · 3 L+5.1wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+42.7%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under46c8,500$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,914.9947144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6bf…16b9backed Over60c8,292$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.949148.4%44 W · 47 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7ff…03adbacked Under4c8,200$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3041533.3%5 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+583.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb30…b74bbacked Under3c8,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402330.4%7 W · 16 L+4.5wins+0.20per pick11cpaid+231.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Over58c8,000$4,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3807034.3%24 W · 46 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Under44c8,000$3,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,514.9221542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over56c7,992$4,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,496.518633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under41c7,730$3,153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,152.6230626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under42c7,692$3,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,211.4170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over53c7,500$3,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,52518837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under46c7,500$3,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,44547643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200e…38b3backed Under45c7,398$3,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3112437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a57…d10fbacked Under5c7,250$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.53619.4%7 W · 29 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick9cpaid+506.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under46c7,200$3,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30844144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under43c6,888$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.065345.3%24 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over50c6,784$3,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,400.8931545.4%143 W · 172 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Over43c6,502$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,729.7617550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under45c6,247$2,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,800.536056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 43 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.