Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a8e55aaf7c16f82cb45233b7db0fc2354514f6d47382723b33aea04e9f09ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 75c | 1,936$1,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.09 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 14c | 1,500$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 23c | 855.78$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90d4…2deebacked Under | 16c | 794.91$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Under | 23c | 648.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.97 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8a…6cd5backed Over | 75c | 383.18$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf20…c784backed Under | 21c | 380.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 21c | 377.91$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.29 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 20c | 335.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 25c | 280.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.94 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 26c | 220.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 10c | 202.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1207…9795backed Under | 26c | 171$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 74c | 153.91$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 264 | 55.3%146 W · 118 L | -17.1wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Under | 19c | 128.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 132 | 61.4%81 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 25c | 126.66$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.83 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 26c | 118.62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.84 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 22c | 117.46$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 15c | 100.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 76c | 98.87$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Under | 18c | 89.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 20c | 76.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 27c | 76$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.52 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…aa30backed Under | 26c | 75.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 78c | 68$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Under | 18c | 66.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +11.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +38.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 78c | 61.9$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Over | 73c | 59.63$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 210 | 58.1%122 W · 88 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Under | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a31…80d4backed Under | 28c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…bf19backed Over | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 107 | 69.2%74 W · 33 L | +6.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 71c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 79c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae41…8311backed Over | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Over | 74c | 14.08$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.73 | 215 | 65.1%140 W · 75 L | +16.4wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.