Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe3865cbc922ca3b023ab8371242785216e9939666af51c991164cfada84f7d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,783
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,783 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 17c | 4,003$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.54 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 17c | 3,179$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.92 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 14c | 2,529$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.06 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4b…541bbacked Under | 15c | 2,500$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.99 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Under | 23c | 2,332$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.91 | 258 | 57%147 W · 111 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef83…1064backed Over | 79c | 2,073$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 19c | 1,910$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.81 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 18c | 1,178$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.61 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 21c | 1,002$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.46 | 407 | 36.6%149 W · 258 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 21c | 999.95$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.99 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 17c | 934.13$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.35 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1c…3347backed Under | 19c | 667.61$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.8 | 469 | 39.4%185 W · 284 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 19c | 411.22$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.27 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 19c | 385.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.17 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 21c | 370.68$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.39 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a34…7ca4backed Over | 78c | 346.15$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.15 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 18c | 317.51$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.15 | 465 | 50.3%234 W · 231 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fd…8175backed Under | 16c | 303.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 245 | 55.1%135 W · 110 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Under | 15c | 299.97$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 19c | 276.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83ca…5168backed Under | 22c | 265.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.98 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…e006backed Over | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 23c | 216.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 1,141 | 46.2%527 W · 614 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a24…545dbacked Under | 24c | 212.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Over | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 18c | 194.82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.17 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 12c | 192.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.05 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab3…517cbacked Over | 79c | 176.04$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75b6…5b63backed Under | 18c | 147.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 104 | 19.2%20 W · 84 L | -10.2wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d42…eb8ebacked Over | 80c | 141$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 115 | 60%69 W · 46 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282a…d552backed Over | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 75cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d78…f54abacked Over | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7636backed Under | 20c | 126.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.28 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 37cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…f98bbacked Over | 79c | 125.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.45 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…23d0backed Over | 78c | 116.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f69…69c5backed Under | 10c | 112.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…aa30backed Under | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 17c | 106.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x004c…ab0cbacked Over | 79c | 101.06$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 111 | 70.3%78 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…bc38backed Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 199 | 60.8%121 W · 78 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…d0ecbacked Over | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 21c | 97.13$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…0797backed Under | 22c | 90.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Under | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a86…0079backed Under | 21c | 71.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e5…20f4backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1381…2388backed Over | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 76c | 59$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…0088backed Under | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 26.8%37 W · 101 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae4…7c46backed Over | 77c | 49.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 158 | 59.5%94 W · 64 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac84…52d7backed Over | 79c | 47.71$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cef…2c8dbacked Over | 77c | 39.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 434 | 60.4%262 W · 172 L | +33.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xacd4…4857backed Over | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5156…c73dbacked Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefbb…d067backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…3f61backed Over | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7731…4b48backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93e9…4d47backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 101 | 65.3%66 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 77c | 22.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 254 | 55.9%142 W · 112 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a3…121fbacked Over | 79c | 20.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Over | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e52…5535backed Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…ccc9backed Over | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x360a…1098backed Over | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…b4f7backed Over | 80c | 13.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.75 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.