Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x869d292cad4c550afd4032ebcba3d32fa9f38bcc44f90d08d4cff972fa0453af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x060f…5a9dbacked Over | 42c | 1,700$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ea…52d2backed Under | 50c | 966.36$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.28 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 37c | 912.58$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.51 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Under | 67c | 898.64$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.98 | 401 | 63.3%254 W · 147 L | +57.7wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6535…dd25backed Under | 64c | 612.42$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.47 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e6…fa86backed Over | 40c | 380.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.5 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 68c | 304.69$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.69 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 42c | 261$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.92 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 62c | 249.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.81 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Over | 41c | 245.92$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 61c | 244$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.72 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Under | 57c | 225.19$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.83 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 61c | 212$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.92 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedfa…fd66backed Under | 58c | 203.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Under | 62c | 188.36$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 381 | 55.4%211 W · 170 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaffc…cddcbacked Over | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 62c | 144$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Under | 65c | 142.83$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc10…262cbacked Over | 37c | 135.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf647…0ccbbacked Over | 12c | 128.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 130 | 61.5%80 W · 50 L | +11.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bdf…aa6ebacked Under | 46c | 109.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 59c | 100.17$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1506…e79ebacked Over | 37c | 53.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 49%98 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d61…ffe8backed Over | 40c | 49.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 63c | 43.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…fa3abacked Under | 60c | 43.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 162 | 60.5%98 W · 64 L | +22.3wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +29%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…0665backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4faf…e729backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 61c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0081…dc8bbacked Over | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf27a…78d8backed Over | 54c | 20.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 227 | 52.4%119 W · 108 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…e7b5backed Under | 57c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…eed8backed Under | 61c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.