Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6f163517c5c96d12a05d8e9fa00bbca93e6225127bd52b18c180fee26c1b83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7170…0534backed Over | 36c | 4,657$1,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.9 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb82…f6babacked Under | 69c | 3,563$2,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,457.16 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 31c | 3,522$1,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,434.94 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf1…3018backed Under | 64c | 2,806$1,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,795.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…c5dcbacked Under | 65c | 1,465$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.81 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x260f…6980backed Over | 35c | 839.87$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.87 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 66c | 822.95$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.26 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Under | 68c | 743.62$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.66 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0891…4874backed Under | 68c | 712.43$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.45 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 34c | 505.33$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…d936backed Over | 33c | 499.98$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.99 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 65c | 426$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.9 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Under | 65c | 383.2$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.1 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…2859backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 39c | 240.34$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.76 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over | 35c | 239.48$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.66 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Over | 35c | 225$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.25 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…7c1ebacked Under | 65c | 212.77$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.3 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a3…9ac2backed Over | 36c | 206.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.23 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 36c | 162.41$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.5 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851f…642fbacked Under | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb59…6ca3backed Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d2…0cefbacked Under | 65c | 148.25$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7e…6be6backed Over | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 177 | 36.7%65 W · 112 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 47c | 138.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.46 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…000bbacked Over | 33c | 128.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.27 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bb…2753backed Over | 58c | 109.98$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.19 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…e560backed Over | 34c | 102.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 423 | 36.9%156 W · 267 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…f260backed Over | 50c | 100.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.79 | 379 | 19.5%74 W · 305 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 54c | 95.7$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 101 | 57.4%58 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Under | 42c | 89.13$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.43 | 141 | 34.8%49 W · 92 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…02a1backed Over | 64c | 87.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5947…c7dcbacked Under | 66c | 83.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Over | 61c | 81.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Over | 34c | 75.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed Over | 32c | 74.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 470 | 49.4%232 W · 238 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9969…ef00backed Over | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 60c | 69.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 32c | 65.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.54 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3040…2c03backed Over | 38c | 47.37$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce05…9176backed Under | 67c | 44.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…543fbacked Over | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…4a2cbacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 49c | 39.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 340 | 56.5%192 W · 148 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…bafbbacked Under | 65c | 39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 65c | 37.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…6e8dbacked Under | 54c | 37.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…5e79backed Over | 48c | 33$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 118 | 34.7%41 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0db9…a4a8backed Under | 45c | 29.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -16.1wins | -0.46per pick | 52cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 20-0.27 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 50c | 29.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce74…e6ecbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x263c…6540backed Under | 51c | 23.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked Under | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 129 | 48.8%63 W · 66 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Under | 67c | 17.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 Cornersthis page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.