Fifa International · resolved market
France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x93d914ff516366069c4c856bf0e720bb62461fd4a17db41107c1034fa778b7cf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 23c | 2,183$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 227 | 49.3%112 W · 115 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c05…fabfbacked Under | 75c | 1,402$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.5 | 70 | 78.6%55 W · 15 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Over | 25c | 1,335$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.69 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Under | 75c | 1,274$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.48 | 128 | 53.9%69 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8284…b614backed Under | 76c | 956.47$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over | 25c | 904$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Over | 25c | 888.28$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.07 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 24c | 885.01$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.81 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Under | 75c | 447.78$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 76c | 395.99$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.04 | 673 | 54.7%368 W · 305 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b79…b1bebacked Over | 17c | 391.87$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.61 | 202 | 45.5%92 W · 110 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 22c | 351.63$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 76c | 315.15$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.07 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 76c | 299.38$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.01 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 74c | 288.42$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…fd8fbacked Under | 77c | 286.43$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 74c | 279.15$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.58 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 26c | 252.82$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea45…90a8backed Under | 75c | 244.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 65cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 76c | 218$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92db…68d2backed Under | 76c | 189.26$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.42 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 26c | 186$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 75c | 143.18$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…3736backed Under | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…7a96backed Over | 24c | 116.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Over | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed Under | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x120e…8907backed Under | 77c | 97.4$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699d…7b47backed Over | 16c | 95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 57 | 21.1%12 W · 45 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Over | 14c | 91.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 21c | 90$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Under | 75c | 86.19$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 778 | 45%350 W · 428 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Over | 25c | 80.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 660 | 56.8%375 W · 285 L | +34.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Under | 75c | 78.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3d25backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 72c | 70.21$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Under | 74c | 65.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…6afcbacked Over | 25c | 64.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 42 | 9.5%4 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce71…54c9backed Over | 18c | 59.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 38cpaid | -53%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 25c | 52.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…22f7backed Over | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 208 | 14.4%30 W · 178 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd800…c256backed Under | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 313 | 58.1%182 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58cc…6415backed Over | 25c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Under | 77c | 36.4$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 383 | 29.8%114 W · 269 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e8…eebfbacked Under | 80c | 26.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…2379backed Under | 80c | 22.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Under | 77c | 20.02$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 68cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed Under | 74c | 19.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…77babacked Under | 76c | 19.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ce…fd8bbacked Under | 79c | 15.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 75cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6e…ab75backed Under | 76c | 14.97$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 75c | 14.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France vs. Spain: O/U 11.5 Total Cornersthis page
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 2.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 3.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 4.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: France O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 10.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: O/U 9.5 Total CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 4.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Spain O/U 5.5 CornersUnder won
- France vs. Spain: Team to Take First CornerFrance won
- France vs. Spain: Total Corners Odd or Even?Even won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.