Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2182f29dc74fa806d339b812e387147dc49422fee17cd67252de6c193f86db18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brandon Nakashimaof Brandon Nakashima, Daniil Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,837,761
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,799,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,837,761 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 874 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f44…93c2backed Daniil Medvedev | 56c | 139,856$78,103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,102.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca97…49f6backed Daniil Medvedev | 40c | 96,610$39,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,055.95 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…2036backed Daniil Medvedev | 45c | 91,475$41,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,410.62 | 756 | 40.1%303 W · 453 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d2…3910backed Daniil Medvedev | 58c | 85,418$49,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,542.35 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Daniil Medvedev | 44c | 84,769$37,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,457.49 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Daniil Medvedev | 19c | 67,265$12,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,476.14 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Brandon Nakashima | 63c | 57,289$35,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,399.92 | 1,217 | 46.3%563 W · 654 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Daniil Medvedev | 58c | 43,254$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 40,240$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 350 | 57.4%201 W · 149 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 38,758$16,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,434.63 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Daniil Medvedev | 53c | 35,704$18,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,753.71 | 581 | 39.9%232 W · 349 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Daniil Medvedev | 46c | 34,308$15,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,756.28 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 34,108$19,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,424.8 | 1,404 | 42.8%601 W · 803 L | -31.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Brandon Nakashima | 60c | 31,389$18,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,630.06 | 142 | 64.8%92 W · 50 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5c…1498backed Daniil Medvedev | 56c | 30,000$16,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,651.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 25,637$11,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,372.54 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 25,567$10,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,697.3 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.96 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 50c | 24,158$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,157.65 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 61c | 22,742$13,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,983.78 | 492 | 56.3%277 W · 215 L | -18.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf958…db13backed Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 22,000$12,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,539.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772f…8145backed Brandon Nakashima | 65c | 21,471$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,471.48 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Daniil Medvedev | 52c | 20,843$10,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,819.92 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d1…c18fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 53c | 20,560$10,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,700.57 | 225 | 62.7%141 W · 84 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 20,000$11,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,399.98 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 19,275$8,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,986.82 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fd…a7dabacked Brandon Nakashima | 49c | 18,367$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,367.35 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 17,375$7,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,696.4 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 16,797$7,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,555.12 | 785 | 36.1%283 W · 502 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Daniil Medvedev | 56c | 16,072$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,000.29 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 16,056$7,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,982.03 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 14,276$6,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,137.32 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a6…429abacked Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 14,197$8,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,083.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 13,285$5,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,558.36 | 199 | 48.7%97 W · 102 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Brandon Nakashima | 34c | 12,882$4,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,549.97 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…730abacked Brandon Nakashima | 31c | 12,676$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,688.4 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,125 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x457f…aa1abacked Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,124.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Brandon Nakashima | 69c | 12,330$8,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,822.4 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Brandon Nakashima | 20c | 11,870$2,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,543.04 | 179 | 50.3%90 W · 89 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3970…44cebacked Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 11,750$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,662.29 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…45eebacked Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 11,349$6,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,498.79 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Brandon Nakashima | 72c | 10,913$7,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,093.02 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Daniil Medvedev | 55c | 10,269$5,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,663.96 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…01b7backed Daniil Medvedev | 0c | 10,010$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 181 | 48.1%87 W · 94 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5455…8b2abacked Daniil Medvedev | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 132 | 39.4%52 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 9,974$4,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,657.61 | 332 | 34%113 W · 219 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Daniil Medvedev | 50c | 9,602$4,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,833.68 | 340 | 47.4%161 W · 179 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Daniil Medvedev | 52c | 9,568$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.38 | 365 | 44.9%164 W · 201 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c4…7433backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 9,470$3,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.22 | 216 | 42.6%92 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,129.93 | 219 | 44.3%97 W · 122 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 8,750$3,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.97 | 111 | 43.2%48 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 33c | 8,101$2,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,427.66 | 284 | 51.1%145 W · 139 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…e0ccbacked Brandon Nakashima | 72c | 8,011$5,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,260.26 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 7,687$3,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.43 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 7,524$3,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,328.06 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…842abacked Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 7,416$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,152.99 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 7,172$4,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,088 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 55c | 7,165$3,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,935.43 | 1,047 | 50%524 W · 523 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 7,139$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,111.98 | 1,102 | 52.2%575 W · 527 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a16…c0d5backed Daniil Medvedev | 43c | 6,331$2,743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,742.66 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb035…ff78backed Brandon Nakashima | 67c | 6,267$4,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,068.16 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daniil Medvedev | 64c | 6,047$3,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.4 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,480 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 51c | 5,939$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Daniil Medvedev | 50c | 5,500$2,741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,740.83 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 5,441$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,026.09 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 5,399$2,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,077.21 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Daniil Medvedev | 1c | 5,078$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…774cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 65c | 5,013$3,259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,753.52 | 169 | 57.4%97 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b75…fa0ebacked Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 4,999$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.93 | 790 | 40.6%321 W · 469 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 4,800$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,783.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 4,762$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.9 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +9.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 4,584$1,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,674.46 | 765 | 46.8%358 W · 407 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 4,581$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611.4 | 308 | 40.6%125 W · 183 L | -23.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 4,252$1,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.22 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Daniil Medvedev | 70c | 4,154$2,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,896.35 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 4,133$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.29 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 1c | 4,095$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 991 | 48.6%482 W · 509 L | +43.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Daniil Medvedev | 57c | 4,000$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.95 | 174 | 45.4%79 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Brandon Nakashima | 49c | 3,998$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,054.67 | 385 | 50.4%194 W · 191 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 3,965$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,229.89 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | -12.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Daniil Medvedev | 51c | 3,897$1,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.69 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Brandon Nakashima | 48c | 3,728$1,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,946.56 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…8e6fbacked Daniil Medvedev | 32c | 3,698$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Brandon Nakashima | 43c | 3,684$1,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.84 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Daniil Medvedev | 59c | 3,683$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,172.85 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6055…5fdebacked Daniil Medvedev | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…8c14backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 3,500$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,030 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Daniil Medvedev | 75c | 3,473$2,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,618.45 | 1,673 | 53%887 W · 786 L | +45.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf3…e802backed Brandon Nakashima | 19c | 3,439$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,794.74 | 477 | 28.1%134 W · 343 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Daniil Medvedev | 71c | 3,397$2,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,404.52 | 300 | 53.7%161 W · 139 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Daniil Medvedev | 56c | 3,393$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 3,390$1,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,885.36 | 1,881 | 45.7%860 W · 1,021 L | +51.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Brandon Nakashima | 44c | 3,279$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.47 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Brandon Nakashima | 42c | 3,200$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.33 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Daniil Medvedevthis page
- Brandon Nakashima vs. Daniil Medvedev: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Nakashima vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Nakashima vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Nakashima vs. Medvedev: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Nakashima vs MedvedevMedvedev won
- Set 2 Winner: Nakashima vs MedvedevNakashima won
- Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Nakashima (+1.5)Nakashima won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.