NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9e68a9cb10248975ff673509204505bf03838069b0ef81fb220cac4229fdd01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,734,846
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $928,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,734,846 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 2c | 168,996$3,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,119.14 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 3c | 138,165$3,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,915.35 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 3c | 98,888$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.91 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 2c | 55,000$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.18 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 2c | 52,618$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.65 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes | 2c | 48,490$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.04 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 3c | 40,112$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.38 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 2c | 35,829$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.31 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77a3…7deebacked Yes | 1c | 35,340$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.26 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 8cpaid | +425%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 1c | 32,627$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.83 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 31,994$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.4 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 2c | 31,310$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.07 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…32b6backed Yes | 3c | 30,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…b54fbacked Yes | 1c | 26,636$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 3c | 26,081$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 25,130$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.71 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Yes | 2c | 22,248$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.73 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Yes | 5c | 19,881$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…61e3backed Yes | 2c | 18,413$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 2c | 17,624$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.43 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 2c | 17,321$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.5 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed Yes | 3c | 15,003$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.03 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b91…ae77backed Yes | 4c | 14,162$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +49%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 2c | 12,803$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 1cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 2c | 11,038$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Yes | 1c | 10,488$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 1c | 10,092$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.71 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…8aabbacked Yes | 2c | 10,000$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 3c | 9,714$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.11 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…efe6backed Yes | 2c | 8,421$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.66 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfda7…269bbacked Yes | 4c | 8,216$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…be83backed Yes | 3c | 8,132$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 0c | 7,832$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…024dbacked Yes | 2c | 7,397$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…00c9backed Yes | 3c | 7,360$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Yes | 2c | 6,900$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.11 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x544f…3ca1backed Yes | 4c | 6,826$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 1c | 6,824$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.71 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 4c | 6,683$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf105…f151backed Yes | 3c | 6,669$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 2c | 6,321$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.19 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1eb…7afebacked Yes | 4c | 6,242$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.86 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Yes | 3c | 6,152$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…fa6dbacked Yes | 3c | 6,065$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 3c | 6,037$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.01 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes | 3c | 5,803$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ba…e89abacked Yes | 2c | 5,792$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 45cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 2c | 5,706$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.73 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…dd6abacked Yes | 2c | 5,154$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…d087backed Yes | 2c | 5,059$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 3c | 5,049$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.78 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93dcbacked Yes | 2c | 5,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc65b…b345backed Yes | 3c | 4,798$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.52 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 4c | 4,793$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.11 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 4,730$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcc…1377backed Yes | 3c | 4,583$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.74 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc49…3d89backed Yes | 2c | 4,566$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.41 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…dca3backed Yes | 2c | 4,512$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 150 | 52.7%79 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 3c | 4,495$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.71 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 2c | 4,251$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.93 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…7011backed Yes | 1c | 4,064$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 2c | 3,945$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.54 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0f…708ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,936$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Yes | 2c | 3,889$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…7c84backed Yes | 3c | 3,875$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Yes | 3c | 3,689$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…b613backed Yes | 2c | 3,581$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8296…e9cbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,576$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.43 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,556$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088e…bc56backed Yes | 1c | 3,417$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.06 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 3c | 3,359$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Yes | 1c | 3,354$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 3c | 3,051$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 3c | 3,020$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.65 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…59abbacked Yes | 3c | 3,003$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.92 | 180 | 44.4%80 W · 100 L | +15.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 3,000$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…6691backed Yes | 0c | 2,956$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 2c | 2,890$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4254…e52fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,816$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.36 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 3c | 2,794$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.22 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…e131backed Yes | 4c | 2,778$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 2c | 2,744$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.14 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…5fa3backed Yes | 2c | 2,740$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,709$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…d120backed Yes | 4c | 2,661$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 41.8%64 W · 89 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…6514backed Yes | 4c | 2,586$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8644…ad01backed Yes | 3c | 2,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 1c | 2,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes | 3c | 2,440$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 3c | 2,348$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.73 | 150 | 10%15 W · 135 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9e…6838backed Yes | 4c | 2,277$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b015backed Yes | 2c | 2,259$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.09 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e42…4938backed Yes | 3c | 2,251$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…826cbacked Yes | 5c | 2,104$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…ae69backed Yes | 7c | 2,081$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x231a…a82fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,064$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.79 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?this page
- Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes won
- Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.