NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf51fa8b8484ac74ba474fc0d82c67655cae2b4e17d10d74b8cce430f05dedc58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,462,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $632,128
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,462,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 128,890$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,686.47 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x542a…a81bbacked Yes | 1c | 107,635$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.71 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 1c | 71,381$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.61 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 1c | 68,937$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.01 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 1c | 50,700$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.25 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 43,765$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.51 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 41,204$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.15 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 1c | 31,072$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.56 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc7…2a87backed Yes | 1c | 27,933$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.61 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…92f7backed Yes | 0c | 27,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 1c | 25,945$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.87 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 1c | 24,398$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.12 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 23,642$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.71 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 1c | 23,559$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ec…df91backed Yes | 2c | 22,241$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.74 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | +24.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 22,070$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.39 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…ede0backed Yes | 2c | 20,531$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 1c | 17,616$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 16,948$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 1cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadec…3c7bbacked Yes | 1c | 16,035$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 1c | 15,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 1c | 13,285$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb22…808abacked Yes | 2c | 13,218$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.71 | 956 | 41.7%399 W · 557 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 0c | 12,939$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 0c | 12,000$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes | 0c | 10,400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd99f…e9bebacked Yes | 7c | 10,030$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 1c | 10,010$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.65 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…af20backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 1c | 9,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 1c | 9,397$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.03 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Yes | 1c | 9,014$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa06…1e0fbacked Yes | 1c | 8,699$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 0c | 8,621$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5166…f454backed Yes | 0c | 8,043$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Yes | 1c | 7,618$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 3c | 7,537$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 7,378$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.21 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Yes | 2c | 6,865$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.88 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…487ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,575$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 1c | 6,424$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.22 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6672…e975backed Yes | 1c | 6,200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 1c | 6,154$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.3 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f7…73bbbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd5…57acbacked Yes | 1c | 6,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 31 | 6.5%2 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4da1…1f8cbacked Yes | 2c | 5,814$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 1c | 5,638$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a7…8ef1backed Yes | 1c | 5,555$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Yes | 1c | 5,340$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 5,021$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56be…57eebacked Yes | 3c | 5,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.77 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Yes | 2c | 4,912$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5146…ac5ebacked Yes | 1c | 4,725$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.41 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes | 2c | 4,616$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 4,598$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.85 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed Yes | 1c | 4,492$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…5fa3backed Yes | 1c | 4,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3de…111abacked Yes | 1c | 4,363$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes | 1c | 4,325$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.69 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…8a30backed Yes | 1c | 4,288$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 0c | 4,175$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 2c | 4,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.14 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…8b40backed Yes | 2c | 3,807$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 31cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…7011backed Yes | 1c | 3,775$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf46…8a5ebacked Yes | 2c | 3,209$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 2c | 3,134$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.58 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x517b…fe53backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +229.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 1c | 2,989$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 1c | 2,899$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 111 | 36%40 W · 71 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f8…dd6abacked Yes | 1c | 2,792$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +174.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…b4e2backed Yes | 0c | 2,678$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x146e…ab0bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,651$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +265.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb460…041fbacked Yes | 2c | 2,632$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb14…26e8backed Yes | 1c | 2,448$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…024dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,343$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x025d…5b22backed Yes | 1c | 2,187$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067b…3bb4backed Yes | 3c | 1,946$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 2c | 1,918$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b6…1bccbacked Yes | 1c | 1,857$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 1c | 1,821$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 1,800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 1c | 1,621$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6058…efe6backed Yes | 1c | 1,615$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,584$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…ae69backed Yes | 2c | 1,453$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2da…f8d4backed Yes | 2c | 1,389$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +167.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 2c | 1,387$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4009…84cdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e2e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,297$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,262$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…c523backed Yes | 2c | 1,243$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25a7…8b7cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,195$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7132…84e2backed Yes | 2c | 1,133$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 2c | 1,115$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?this page
- Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes won
- Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.