NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x06866503ec6a8f9d16ad80d668433eae895e9b98b7f50a1b80c1bc1afaa13183
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,940,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,028,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,940,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes | 1c | 147,622$1,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,454.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7803…c9afbacked Yes | 1c | 126,383$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 101,348$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.14 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…b0c8backed Yes | 1c | 97,327$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 1c | 93,407$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.36 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 1c | 72,707$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.45 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…311cbacked Yes | 1c | 70,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 48,608$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.03 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 45,634$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.24 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 33,677$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.42 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 33,279$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.43 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 1c | 31,898$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.45 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 2c | 29,859$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 1c | 24,251$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.36 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee9…f7acbacked Yes | 0c | 24,200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.6 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +10.1wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…dfd8backed Yes | 2c | 20,300$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.13 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…273abacked Yes | 1c | 18,846$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Yes | 1c | 18,598$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.08 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 1c | 18,422$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 16,906$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.24 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 1cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 1c | 15,610$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.57 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes | 1c | 15,541$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 1c | 14,848$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.54 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +4.2wins | +0.52per pick | 35cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4a13…2702backed Yes | 1c | 12,760$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…b5c3backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x670a…55d0backed Yes | 2c | 11,926$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be4…8477backed Yes | 1c | 11,439$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 35 | 8.6%3 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,281$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x181f…ed9dbacked Yes | 1c | 10,907$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 0c | 10,799$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.07 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 2c | 10,532$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.85 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 1c | 10,369$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +252%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 10,363$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.97 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 1c | 10,037$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.38 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 1c | 10,024$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.55 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25a8…13e4backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.3 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Yes | 3c | 9,474$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.68 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed Yes | 3c | 9,140$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.01 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…0102backed Yes | 1c | 8,241$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.49 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +71.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x589e…421cbacked Yes | 2c | 8,030$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e66…e71ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,749$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +346.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 1c | 6,500$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 1c | 6,498$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.16 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 2c | 6,389$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 1c | 6,246$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.07 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Yes | 1c | 6,097$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…eb23backed Yes | 2c | 5,979$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c5…5cbabacked Yes | 1c | 5,699$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.73 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 7cpaid | -55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbd…93dcbacked Yes | 2c | 5,371$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x055f…6ec7backed Yes | 1c | 5,233$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +231.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8794…fa1bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,219$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…7011backed Yes | 1c | 5,043$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b5…6a22backed Yes | 2c | 4,897$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.57 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -7.4wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 2c | 4,812$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…f2d1backed Yes | 1c | 4,547$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…d087backed Yes | 1c | 4,533$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed Yes | 1c | 4,302$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Yes | 2c | 4,170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…cf98backed Yes | 2c | 4,127$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…e4bebacked Yes | 1c | 4,127$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802a…a9d2backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +356.4%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fd…36d1backed Yes | 1c | 3,942$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -34%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 3,882$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.46 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca1…78b1backed Yes | 1c | 3,829$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 1c | 3,820$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7d…5852backed Yes | 2c | 3,591$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +23%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 3c | 3,485$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.89 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…8494backed Yes | 1c | 3,337$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…9663backed Yes | 1c | 3,219$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,181$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e57…86febacked Yes | 1c | 3,173$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 1c | 3,097$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c98…248bbacked Yes | 2c | 3,018$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…b01bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…7c86backed Yes | 1c | 2,981$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8157…6cc6backed Yes | 3c | 2,953$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 2c | 2,906$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b4…826cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac3…c523backed Yes | 1c | 2,783$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,667$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd061…1aafbacked Yes | 1c | 2,621$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 1c | 2,598$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.41 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Yes | 1c | 2,562$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x077e…1fb0backed Yes | 1c | 2,488$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 162 | 61.1%99 W · 63 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0354…be83backed Yes | 8c | 2,452$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…8a30backed Yes | 1c | 2,413$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x468c…151ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,400$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +158.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91b3…77d6backed Yes | 2c | 2,374$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 4cpaid | +181.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65c5…e92abacked Yes | 1c | 2,341$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,305$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…210abacked Yes | 1c | 2,291$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaad…9cd2backed Yes | 2c | 2,264$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b6…538bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,260$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b4…3c5abacked Yes | 1c | 2,177$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc67…2859backed Yes | 1c | 2,163$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0e…35f8backed Yes | 1c | 2,143$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…64b0backed Yes | 1c | 2,121$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 1c | 2,072$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…0d1ebacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?this page
- Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes won
- Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.