TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0e1…b01b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
139
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT9655.2%53 W · 43 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$390
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$825Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+69%+$568.98
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+63.1%+$142.26
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.27
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$148.2
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$240
LoL: LGD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.84
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,298Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,298.17
LoL: JD Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+135.9%+$231.01
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$2,308Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$1,882.98
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$162.36
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.98
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$360.23
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$189.99
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$479Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$479.08
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$253.47
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,175Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+27.7%+$325
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$216.34
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$578Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$432.2
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$543Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+177.5%+$963.22
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2040%8 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid+41.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$592.2
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.49
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.55
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33.66
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$578Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$577.5
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$300
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$630
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.21
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$75
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$454Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$454.3
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Rockets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$62.5
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$36
Hornets vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$390
Kings vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$144
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$185
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,195Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$805
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,219.99
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$780
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,480Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$520
Argentina leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Argentina vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
All 10 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-32.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,777Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$770.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.