TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Bilibili Gamingof EDward Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,176,996
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,339,383

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,176,996 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 877 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed EDward Gaming26c99,917$25,575 inLost-$25,574.61,37937.7%520 W · 859 L-43.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd30…f316backed EDward Gaming35c90,461$31,957 inLost-$31,956.7122451.8%116 W · 108 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed Bilibili Gaming74c80,586$60,005 inWon+$20,580.5713061.5%80 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ef7…0a2dbacked EDward Gaming26c60,000$15,600 inLost-$15,6003641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed EDward Gaming47c55,861$26,255 inLost-$26,254.5125546.3%118 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5fc…d802backed EDward Gaming9c41,325$3,736 inLost-$3,736.47263.8%1 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-90.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd202…8973backed EDward Gaming26c41,234$10,798 inLost-$10,797.7238235.6%136 W · 246 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd967…1409backed Bilibili Gaming69c40,985$28,105 inWon+$12,879.3312160.3%73 W · 48 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Bilibili Gaming69c39,078$26,794 inWon+$12,284.4843442.4%184 W · 250 L+18.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed EDward Gaming27c37,000$9,990 inLost-$9,99053750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Bilibili Gaming53c36,500$19,355 inWon+$17,14520546.8%96 W · 109 L+16.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+36.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked EDward Gaming25c34,692$8,603 inLost-$8,602.9325944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc44f…d49fbacked Bilibili Gaming68c30,736$21,005 inWon+$9,730.3657246%263 W · 309 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked EDward Gaming42c29,999$12,590 inLost-$12,589.81,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed EDward Gaming20c27,460$5,521 inLost-$5,520.971,63040.1%654 W · 976 L+48.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcae6…4f85backed Bilibili Gaming79c27,400$21,515 inWon+$5,885.2467276.9%517 W · 155 L+87.3wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x292f…7fc2backed Bilibili Gaming70c26,227$18,377 inWon+$7,849.836259.7%37 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked EDward Gaming14c25,000$3,500 inLost-$3,499.9996048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe291…748ebacked EDward Gaming15c24,005$3,600 inLost-$3,599.5310456.7%59 W · 45 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed EDward Gaming14c21,428$3,000 inLost-$2,999.989761.9%60 W · 37 L+9.1wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+22.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed Bilibili Gaming68c20,020$13,611 inWon+$6,408.630845.1%139 W · 169 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d83…d89cbacked EDward Gaming14c19,052$2,667 inLost-$2,667.3125453.5%136 W · 118 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bilibili Gaming68c18,000$12,260 inWon+$5,739.9990348.4%437 W · 466 L+14.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed EDward Gaming15c17,562$2,634 inLost-$2,634.346050.7%233 W · 227 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xff7b…1659backed Bilibili Gaming60c16,503$9,872 inWon+$6,630.941855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda3a…381fbacked EDward Gaming14c16,500$2,310 inLost-$2,3101,48250%741 W · 741 L+65.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Bilibili Gaming54c16,049$8,590 inWon+$7,458.9319239.1%75 W · 117 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed EDward Gaming30c15,845$4,697 inLost-$4,696.5769741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed EDward Gaming35c14,953$5,241 inLost-$5,241.0348149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed Bilibili Gaming55c14,059$7,697 inWon+$6,362.285455.6%30 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ebd…b66abacked Bilibili Gaming80c14,021$11,164 inWon+$2,856.764564.4%29 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed Bilibili Gaming44c12,899$5,689 inWon+$7,210.186445.3%29 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+26.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed EDward Gaming32c12,698$4,000 inLost-$4,00057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed EDward Gaming26c11,667$3,000 inLost-$3,00051348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4202…9d36backed EDward Gaming26c11,540$3,000 inLost-$3,000.382142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a60…7b81backed EDward Gaming14c10,736$1,524 inLost-$1,524.452846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed EDward Gaming32c10,560$3,422 inLost-$3,421.993,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…2c98backed Bilibili Gaming79c10,412$8,225 inWon+$2,186.833548.6%17 W · 18 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6768…4ef1backed EDward Gaming17c10,000$1,650 inLost-$1,65010449%51 W · 53 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked EDward Gaming19c9,952$1,860 inLost-$1,860.152,67235.7%954 W · 1,718 L-153.3wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff80…9b4dbacked EDward Gaming44c9,877$4,346 inLost-$4,345.8737245.2%168 W · 204 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe405…c67ebacked Bilibili Gaming66c9,772$6,432 inWon+$3,340.2867760.4%409 W · 268 L+42.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed EDward Gaming44c9,599$4,224 inLost-$4,223.561,52150.6%769 W · 752 L+3.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed EDward Gaming16c9,039$1,413 inLost-$1,412.585836.2%311 W · 547 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Bilibili Gaming70c8,803$6,153 inWon+$2,650.264155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3724…69b5backed EDward Gaming27c8,770$2,368 inLost-$2,36813947.5%66 W · 73 L+9.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Bilibili Gaming66c8,000$5,318 inWon+$2,682.2235448.6%172 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe2ce…006bbacked EDward Gaming42c8,000$3,360 inLost-$3,359.973020%6 W · 24 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-45.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Bilibili Gaming68c7,500$5,100 inWon+$2,40022355.2%123 W · 100 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0e6…23c2backed Bilibili Gaming58c7,172$4,160 inWon+$3,012.1311247.3%53 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked EDward Gaming24c7,157$1,727 inLost-$1,726.7484942.5%361 W · 488 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c4…f745backed EDward Gaming17c7,082$1,207 inLost-$1,207.229955.6%55 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x695d…0d7cbacked EDward Gaming29c7,000$2,027 inLost-$2,026.7267553.5%361 W · 314 L+25.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc700…31a1backed Bilibili Gaming53c6,700$3,551 inWon+$3,1495145.1%23 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ad1…9198backed Bilibili Gaming56c6,500$3,640 inWon+$2,8607051.4%36 W · 34 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked EDward Gaming28c6,496$1,819 inLost-$1,8196338.1%24 W · 39 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Bilibili Gaming74c6,482$4,782 inWon+$1,700.472,49739.9%996 W · 1,501 L-75.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed EDward Gaming20c6,401$1,266 inLost-$1,266.4147533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f4…8300backed Bilibili Gaming57c6,345$3,617 inWon+$2,728.356848.5%33 W · 35 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Bilibili Gaming75c6,250$4,679 inWon+$1,571.174852.1%25 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed EDward Gaming17c6,000$1,010 inLost-$1,0101,46828.9%424 W · 1,044 L+23.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Bilibili Gaming73c5,980$4,365 inWon+$1,614.632365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a35…9015backed EDward Gaming40c5,733$2,300 inLost-$2,30036943.9%162 W · 207 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed EDward Gaming15c5,501$850 inLost-$85018330.1%55 W · 128 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Bilibili Gaming75c5,454$4,108 inWon+$1,346.421,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked EDward Gaming33c5,367$1,771 inLost-$1,771.057754.5%42 W · 35 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3df1…03e1backed Bilibili Gaming80c5,220$4,156 inWon+$1,064.1711276.8%86 W · 26 L+16.7wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+15.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked Bilibili Gaming68c5,212$3,542 inWon+$1,669.8615443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed EDward Gaming42c5,147$2,162 inLost-$2,161.7319041.6%79 W · 111 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Bilibili Gaming67c5,099$3,440 inWon+$1,658.9454756.9%311 W · 236 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23e…98a4backed EDward Gaming39c5,079$2,000 inLost-$2,0007851.3%40 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53f2…5343backed EDward Gaming17c5,000$850 inLost-$85012236.9%45 W · 77 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked EDward Gaming18c5,000$900 inLost-$90030321.8%66 W · 237 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Bilibili Gaming53c4,900$2,597 inWon+$2,3031376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick60cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x30c1…9f91backed Bilibili Gaming52c4,808$2,500 inWon+$2,307.647349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed EDward Gaming36c4,724$1,700 inLost-$1,70067057.5%385 W · 285 L+24.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Bilibili Gaming58c4,709$2,731 inWon+$1,977.8547455.3%262 W · 212 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x68a6…e96bbacked EDward Gaming38c4,500$1,695 inLost-$1,6951,21848.7%593 W · 625 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcea4…be49backed EDward Gaming11c4,500$495 inLost-$49512717.3%22 W · 105 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked EDward Gaming14c4,357$607 inLost-$606.6634835.3%123 W · 225 L-12.8wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-13.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Bilibili Gaming69c4,210$2,911 inWon+$1,2991,81839.9%726 W · 1,092 L-59.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed EDward Gaming43c4,173$1,791 inLost-$1,790.553860.5%23 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+21.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6fec…e218backed EDward Gaming44c4,080$1,795 inLost-$1,795.182646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85fb…89babacked EDward Gaming44c4,000$1,760 inLost-$1,76017439.1%68 W · 106 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff7…2e67backed EDward Gaming32c3,941$1,276 inLost-$1,276.396949.3%34 W · 35 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa043…b419backed EDward Gaming29c3,930$1,140 inLost-$1,139.5910543.8%46 W · 59 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick34cpaid+41.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x51b3…3989backed Bilibili Gaming78c3,842$2,997 inWon+$844.9910751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f1f…00a7backed Bilibili Gaming53c3,766$1,996 inWon+$1,770.088324.1%20 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.09per pick33cpaid+6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked EDward Gaming31c3,755$1,176 inLost-$1,176.163344.5%282 W · 351 L-18.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9214…ddbfbacked Bilibili Gaming58c3,750$2,175 inWon+$1,57536552.6%192 W · 173 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Bilibili Gaming67c3,731$2,500 inWon+$1,231.221,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed EDward Gaming43c3,613$1,548 inLost-$1,547.9919748.2%95 W · 102 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b89…a4cdbacked EDward Gaming43c3,488$1,500 inLost-$1,50070857.1%404 W · 304 L+41.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a9a…72e7backed EDward Gaming15c3,425$514 inLost-$513.723946%110 W · 129 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe16e…bd58backed EDward Gaming18c3,333$600 inLost-$599.9416043.1%69 W · 91 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked EDward Gaming35c3,310$1,143 inLost-$1,142.766845.5%304 W · 364 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfca7…5e0abacked EDward Gaming15c3,270$491 inLost-$490.52321.7%5 W · 18 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0294…138cbacked Bilibili Gaming63c3,176$2,000 inWon+$1,176.47650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x179d…26abbacked EDward Gaming15c3,150$458 inLost-$45853829.9%161 W · 377 L-19.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b4a…3b84backed EDward Gaming27c3,141$862 inLost-$862.2441439.6%164 W · 250 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.