Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8d553fa670d7ff07bc8753328be64c87c366f697284af84e1c7d3835ee944d2

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $21,405
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $22,831

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,405 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd202…8973backed Under	67c	6,603$4,424 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,424	382	35.6%136 W · 246 L	-15.5wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba43…c6c0backed Over	33c	6,059$1,999 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,059.31	173	48%83 W · 90 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4505…ec35backed Under	66c	1,250$825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$824.91	39	51.3%20 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	34c	1,231$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$807.92	2,508	39.8%999 W · 1,509 L	-76.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Over	37c	1,147$423 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$724.9	637	42.7%272 W · 365 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Over	43c	1,131$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$650.56	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	+11.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under	61c	933.76$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$567.83	2,938	44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L	-92.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under	68c	889.69$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.14	624	51.4%321 W · 303 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90e7…ac8ebacked Under	68c	717.65$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488	144	42.4%61 W · 83 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed Under	67c	595.48$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.97	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	+3.3wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37e9…eedebacked Under	63c	577.03$364 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.53	174	44.8%78 W · 96 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Over	33c	500$165 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335	166	54.2%90 W · 76 L	+7.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+12%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb7c8…c18bbacked Over	33c	464.73$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.37	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Under	61c	396$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.43	1,061	54.7%580 W · 481 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Over	32c	341.91$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$232.5	453	38%172 W · 281 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under	32c	267.71$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.81	857	42.7%366 W · 491 L	-10.4wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd94a…fe08backed Over	31c	260$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.4	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+2.0wins	+0.12per pick	53cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed Over	60c	250$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100	828	36.4%301 W · 527 L	-41.3wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d38…6f08backed Over	73c	250$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.5	626	49.8%312 W · 314 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6dd…238bbacked Over	34c	220.59$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$145.59	227	41%93 W · 134 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under	59c	214.63$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.63	2,495	47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L	-32.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaeb…9ec2backed Over	37c	200$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126	33	51.5%17 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Over	77c	172.25$133 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.11	1,170	66.2%774 W · 396 L	+69.6wins	+0.06per pick	60cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over	59c	171.71$101 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.65	347	42.1%146 W · 201 L	-13.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Over	33c	160$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.6	746	37.9%283 W · 463 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over	32c	145.13$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$98.69	264	40.9%108 W · 156 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Under	33c	137.2$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.31	697	41.5%289 W · 408 L	-17.2wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed Under	67c	135.34$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.68	411	33.8%139 W · 272 L	-28.7wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	34c	127$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.82	460	50.7%233 W · 227 L	+13.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Over	32c	125.13$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$85.13	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+10.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Over	34c	123.88$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.76	273	56.8%155 W · 118 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under	31c	121.71$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.34	978	54.4%532 W · 446 L	+48.6wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x266c…6963backed Over	39c	120.33$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.4	53	41.5%22 W · 31 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Under	49c	116.71$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.6	314	39.8%125 W · 189 L	-16.9wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed Over	71c	115.49$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.49	1,521	50.6%769 W · 752 L	+3.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Over	40c	115.47$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69.54	223	36.8%82 W · 141 L	+2.1wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dff…7fecbacked Under	67c	110.19$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.7	54	27.8%15 W · 39 L	-8.9wins	-0.17per pick	44cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Under	13c	103.01$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	157	39.5%62 W · 95 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Over	32c	101.43$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	602	43.4%261 W · 341 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Over	31c	96.77$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.77	256	40.6%104 W · 152 L	-10.2wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b77…6ba1backed Under	71c	95.48$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.79	52	34.6%18 W · 34 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over	57c	89.69$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.85	704	43.9%309 W · 395 L	-15.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Over	60c	75$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30	307	31.6%97 W · 210 L	-19.2wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xec09…4c2fbacked Over	34c	73.53$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.53	96	46.9%45 W · 51 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+8.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Under	27c	70$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	573	49.4%283 W · 290 L	+8.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15fc…fec7backed Over	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	152	53.9%82 W · 70 L	+5.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe197…71ebbacked Under	64c	62.7$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	277	45.8%127 W · 150 L	-12.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	29c	61$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$43.31	253	42.7%108 W · 145 L	-12.8wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Over	32c	59.98$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.79	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef1b…764fbacked Under	69c	58.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.14	73	52.1%38 W · 35 L	-3.4wins	-0.05per pick	57cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Under	67c	56.45$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.82	1,593	43.8%697 W · 896 L	-74.2wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Under	29c	55.34$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.09	1,134	31%352 W · 782 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4a6…c03bbacked Over	39c	51.28$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.28	119	46.2%55 W · 64 L	-8.4wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over	37c	50$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.5	1,464	43.4%636 W · 828 L	-32.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-19.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a1d…8986backed Over	48c	45.94$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.94	530	47.2%250 W · 280 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaab…82a4backed Under	68c	44.12$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	134	51.5%69 W · 65 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb141…aa3bbacked Under	67c	43.27$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.99	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-3.2wins	-0.29per pick	57cpaid	-61.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x392a…a334backed Over	31c	32.26$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.26	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	58cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc399…53abbacked Over	63c	32.01$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.73	79	38%30 W · 49 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-34%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x981f…b63fbacked Under	67c	29.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	168	46.4%78 W · 90 L	-13.0wins	-0.08per pick	54cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x176e…dbe1backed Under	68c	29.41$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	27	51.9%14 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	59cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe79f…0204backed Over	70c	28.57$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.57	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Under	68c	21.45$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.61	245	44.5%109 W · 136 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe052…4a2cbacked Under	67c	19.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.39	48	52.1%25 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
First Blood in Game 1?EDward Gaming won
First Blood in Game 2?EDward Gaming won
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs EDward Gaming (+1.5)EDward Gaming won
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBilibili Gaming won
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerEDward Gaming won
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBilibili Gaming won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Under won
Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Over won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Games Total: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event