TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

First Blood in Game 2?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
EDward Gamingof EDward Gaming, Bilibili Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,081
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,237

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,081 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93bc…8ca3backed EDward Gaming44c498.57$219 inWon+$279.23,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f8…ad19backed Bilibili Gaming56c357.14$200 inLost-$20062739.9%250 W · 377 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x823b…59e9backed EDward Gaming67c297.53$200 inWon+$97.5312450%62 W · 62 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Bilibili Gaming60c260.17$156 inLost-$15615950.3%80 W · 79 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed EDward Gaming40c235.88$94 inWon+$141.5396149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd43…0599backed EDward Gaming48c200$96 inWon+$1042236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6861…cf22backed Bilibili Gaming50c200$100 inLost-$1006569.2%45 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Bilibili Gaming56c120$67 inLost-$67.24641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.0wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-27.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5807…74dcbacked Bilibili Gaming57c91.23$52 inLost-$5213658.1%79 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef9…8731backed Bilibili Gaming52c82.8$43 inLost-$42.7834756.5%196 W · 151 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ea…b845backed Bilibili Gaming57c69.17$39 inLost-$39.43666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed EDward Gaming50c49.04$24 inWon+$24.632,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…22d9backed Bilibili Gaming52c31.25$16 inLost-$16.2534568.7%237 W · 108 L+24.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Bilibili Gaming52c19.83$10 inLost-$10.3121953%116 W · 103 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.