TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,060,274
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,315,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,060,274 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 758 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit43c193,615$84,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,119.7416147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex56c189,440$106,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83,439.5354556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit43c49,884$21,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,529.5355157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Team Yandex56c45,184$25,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,755.335168.6%35 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex58c37,545$21,664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,881.2833746.3%156 W · 181 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex62c18,624$11,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,021.6220156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4ef…520bbacked Team Spirit0c17,570$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit44c16,495$7,188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,187.7964744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Spirit43c16,430$7,051 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,050.819153.8%49 W · 42 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab80…ffc0backed Team Spirit42c14,148$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,000520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-64.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit16c13,965$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.582,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Team Spirit3c13,243$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.959447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked Team Spirit43c13,042$5,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,602.43616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Team Spirit41c12,000$4,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9202744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Spirit42c11,472$4,828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,827.6660542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Team Spirit46c11,345$5,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,183.6813441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Team Spirit41c10,016$4,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,145.483857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Yandex56c8,899$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,898.7920367%136 W · 67 L+14.8wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x78a2…d0a5backed Team Yandex59c8,526$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,526.388845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda34…01a8backed Team Spirit45c8,456$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.423644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Yandex56c8,000$4,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,479.989839.8%39 W · 59 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Team Yandex58c7,000$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,939.9618452.2%96 W · 88 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Team Spirit45c6,093$2,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,741.121741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57cd…a0fbbacked Team Spirit45c5,627$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,532.141241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Yandex54c5,555$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,555.332854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Team Spirit43c5,509$2,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,368.686650%33 W · 33 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex73c5,131$3,723 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,407.836349.2%31 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Team Spirit34c5,093$1,737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,736.5937223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Team Spirit25c5,083$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,249.826535.4%23 W · 42 L-6.6wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb635…bef0backed Team Spirit43c5,000$2,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,139.630336.6%111 W · 192 L-18.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Spirit38c5,000$1,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,889.9917133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Team Spirit47c4,979$2,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,341.7952243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Team Spirit44c4,716$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,075.036647%31 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Team Yandex66c4,542$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.347844.9%35 W · 43 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Team Spirit44c4,540$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.762755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Team Yandex56c4,300$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9119657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Team Spirit45c3,992$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.34245.2%19 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Yandex56c3,886$2,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.679749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Spirit44c3,820$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.5915345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Team Yandex54c3,704$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,703.77750.6%39 W · 38 L-9.7wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-23.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit30c3,702$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.392,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Yandex60c3,632$2,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.8553451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2969…d6e5backed Team Yandex56c3,542$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,542.074131.7%13 W · 28 L-6.2wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-38.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Yandex57c3,509$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,508.7711557.4%66 W · 49 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Team Yandex79c3,446$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.9156852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed Team Spirit43c3,444$1,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.876850%34 W · 34 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit24c3,205$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.821,18643.2%512 W · 674 L+42.2wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Team Yandex78c3,170$2,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.3215461.7%95 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit48c3,144$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50022842.1%96 W · 132 L-25.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-23.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Spirit22c3,128$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.0514943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Team Spirit45c3,096$1,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.24658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Team Yandex56c3,079$1,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.9427645.3%125 W · 151 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit21c3,034$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62996557.4%554 W · 411 L+49.5wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit44c3,000$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,31089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Spirit6c2,955$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7531245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0822…18adbacked Team Yandex52c2,800$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+61%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Team Yandex55c2,795$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.9360552.6%318 W · 287 L+15.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Spirit47c2,674$1,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,257.5628341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Spirit0c2,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.718622.1%19 W · 67 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Spirit40c2,598$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.3745139.2%177 W · 274 L+0.9wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Team Yandex55c2,500$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.9939936.8%147 W · 252 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82da…da33backed Team Spirit40c2,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010743%46 W · 61 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit28c2,400$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.821,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex62c2,333$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$882.1551751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Spirit37c2,325$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.049837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1942…2c75backed Team Yandex65c2,310$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.885339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c97…fad7backed Team Yandex69c2,265$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+109.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcc…84c1backed Team Spirit45c2,230$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.124440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Team Spirit35c2,178$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.6671342.5%303 W · 410 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc20b…2fb8backed Team Yandex58c2,105$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.45333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-42.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd12d…f0dbbacked Team Yandex75c2,070$1,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.2214956.4%84 W · 65 L+0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Team Yandex58c2,060$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$874.2312661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Team Spirit12c2,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2301154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team Yandex55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.937955.7%44 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6bba…d34cbacked Team Yandex61c1,958$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.721060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…33ddbacked Team Yandex53c1,957$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.722646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex58c1,917$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801.1280443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9887…fe5cbacked Team Yandex62c1,900$1,178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.9910453.8%56 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb110…21eabacked Team Yandex55c1,885$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$855.267550.7%38 W · 37 L-7.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Team Spirit19c1,867$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.738749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe438…e80cbacked Team Spirit8c1,811$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.355910.2%6 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick16cpaid-69.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x879b…fb7bbacked Team Yandex57c1,750$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.524168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e4c…f26dbacked Team Spirit46c1,734$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Spirit43c1,700$731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73134544.3%153 W · 192 L-15.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex59c1,637$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.291,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Yandex55c1,611$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.9519147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Team Yandex66c1,606$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.426243.5%27 W · 35 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-28.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Team Spirit43c1,600$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.9981029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Yandex59c1,597$943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.21,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Spirit37c1,561$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.591,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e5…df30backed Team Yandex64c1,557$999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.621464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Spirit25c1,505$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.6362650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Spirit7c1,500$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.237811.1%42 W · 336 L+0.8wins0.00per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Team Yandex57c1,500$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.9942145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ca4…f2d4backed Team Yandex57c1,453$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.76425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55d9…832cbacked Team Spirit42c1,440$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.641944.2%185 W · 234 L-1.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…594fbacked Team Yandex77c1,407$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.012161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1064…f153backed Team Yandex56c1,400$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6115749.1%28 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked Team Spirit31c1,394$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0813247.7%63 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Team Yandex71c1,344$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.1126453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.