TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Spiritof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,105,674

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,105,674 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 436 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex50c271,001$134,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134,262.854556.5%308 W · 237 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit46c178,685$81,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96,994.7716147.2%76 W · 85 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit59c47,042$27,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,339.7155157%314 W · 237 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd408…e85cbacked Team Yandex56c17,021$9,523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,523.385168.6%35 W · 16 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Spirit62c16,921$10,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,386.9551751.3%265 W · 252 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex56c12,599$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00020156.7%114 W · 87 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed Team Spirit43c9,500$4,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,439.9964744.4%287 W · 360 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9887…fe5cbacked Team Spirit75c8,653$6,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,163.210453.8%56 W · 48 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Team Yandex44c8,282$3,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,613.5312966.7%86 W · 43 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit49c8,000$3,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,079.9942650%213 W · 213 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit66c7,068$4,686 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,381.7266662.2%414 W · 252 L+60.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit62c7,014$4,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,630.3396357.3%552 W · 411 L+48.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Team Spirit49c6,852$3,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,494.278258.5%48 W · 34 L+5.7wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba4a…9fa6backed Team Spirit73c6,352$4,619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.743857.9%22 W · 16 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit58c6,225$3,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,590.112,01244.2%889 W · 1,123 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Yandex33c6,141$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.1316945%76 W · 93 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex46c5,999$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.6213441.8%56 W · 78 L-6.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70c1…dba0backed Team Spirit43c5,263$2,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,00022643.8%99 W · 127 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Team Yandex39c5,218$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.6450832.9%167 W · 341 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7cf…a603backed Team Yandex53c5,181$2,746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,746.096349.2%31 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.10per pick59cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x92d8…0924backed Team Spirit43c5,147$2,213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,934.064658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+19.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex54c5,020$2,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,720.7688539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7e…ef88backed Team Yandex47c4,875$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,282.468425%21 W · 63 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-37.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x879b…fb7bbacked Team Yandex38c4,862$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.224168.3%28 W · 13 L+4.4wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Spirit52c4,773$2,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,285.881,17943.1%508 W · 671 L+41.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Team Spirit44c4,500$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.999657.3%55 W · 41 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Team Spirit49c4,328$2,121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,207.089636.5%35 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Team Yandex36c4,211$1,502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,502.2280443.9%353 W · 451 L-1.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Team Spirit45c4,178$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.8955751.7%288 W · 269 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit49c4,112$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.4953451.7%276 W · 258 L+2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit49c4,101$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,071.732854.9%180 W · 148 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit77c3,915$3,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.8418362.8%115 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Yandex46c3,885$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,779.6248954.6%267 W · 222 L+23.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Team Spirit65c3,842$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,342.071,16447.2%549 W · 615 L-29.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Spirit70c3,758$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.4914943%64 W · 85 L+0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Team Spirit56c3,756$2,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.88749.4%43 W · 44 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed Team Spirit42c3,706$1,557 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,149.7317651.1%90 W · 86 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Spirit59c3,118$1,841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,276.1418746.5%87 W · 100 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bfc…ce53backed Team Yandex33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99011647.4%55 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b75…f8fabacked Team Spirit50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Yandex27c3,000$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.2979559.4%472 W · 323 L+3.7wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…33ddbacked Team Yandex47c2,985$1,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.422646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x59c8…de83backed Team Yandex37c2,795$1,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,026.149447.9%45 W · 49 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Team Spirit44c2,776$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,560.17941.8%33 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Yandex26c2,767$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.3741042.4%174 W · 236 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8781…bc3cbacked Team Spirit67c2,668$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.39616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid-75%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Yandex33c2,595$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.151,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Spirit47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32517133.9%58 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Team Yandex19c2,500$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Spirit49c2,480$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,258.049837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Spirit46c2,365$1,088 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.113045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Spirit57c2,172$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.11,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Spirit44c2,000$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,12089440.3%360 W · 534 L+1.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d3f…ab65backed Team Yandex54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.999749.5%48 W · 49 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Team Spirit46c1,972$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.2919147.6%91 W · 100 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabdf…9fe6backed Team Yandex34c1,952$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+57.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit58c1,880$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$786.561,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Yandex43c1,754$749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.1744149.4%218 W · 223 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Team Yandex25c1,695$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.731245.8%143 W · 169 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Spirit61c1,466$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.4216550.9%84 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf743…1811backed Team Yandex34c1,434$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.6231736%114 W · 203 L-18.1wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-27.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Team Yandex50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70033850.9%172 W · 166 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1259backed Team Spirit61c1,381$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.898251.2%42 W · 40 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76fc…48fabacked Team Spirit55c1,372$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.4213247.7%63 W · 69 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1942…2c75backed Team Spirit61c1,351$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.625339.6%21 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked Team Spirit49c1,343$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.066339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Team Yandex35c1,336$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.961,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Team Spirit58c1,308$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.91,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Team Yandex35c1,300$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.591756.5%518 W · 399 L+79.2wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed Team Spirit61c1,285$787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.7611450%57 W · 57 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Spirit46c1,262$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.8128341%116 W · 167 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked Team Yandex48c1,240$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60033645.5%153 W · 183 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Team Yandex53c1,200$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63035758%207 W · 150 L+26.0wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit46c1,187$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.0112661.1%77 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Spirit61c1,133$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4466753.7%36 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Spirit64c1,082$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.971,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1b…de56backed Team Yandex56c1,068$598 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.9615338.6%59 W · 94 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Spirit54c1,045$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.5938653.9%208 W · 178 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fc2…64d1backed Team Yandex16c1,018$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.9311043.6%48 W · 62 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit52c1,011$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.871,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Team Yandex30c1,007$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,13742.3%481 W · 656 L-27.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit42c1,004$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.1285851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Team Spirit42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58056542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Spirit49c999.96$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9836851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team Yandex26c959.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.615345.8%70 W · 83 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Team Yandex41c948.19$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.1977258.5%452 W · 320 L+74.8wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Team Spirit47c940$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.27357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Team Spirit77c924$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8919664.8%127 W · 69 L+0.3wins0.00per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x249f…fed3backed Team Yandex49c909.96$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.9162650.5%316 W · 310 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e4c…f26dbacked Team Spirit44c909.09$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.09250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fbb…7e44backed Team Yandex29c903.64$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265.7615151%77 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Team Spirit66c886.93$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4336343.3%157 W · 206 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Spirit61c873.88$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.5911549.6%57 W · 58 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Team Yandex45c846.73$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.260646.9%284 W · 322 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Team Yandex26c799.99$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20823650.4%119 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Team Spirit60c795$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.76366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit58c794.54$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.1133645.5%153 W · 183 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Yandex28c785.96$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22345046.7%210 W · 240 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd055…28d0backed Team Yandex54c784$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.3626351%134 W · 129 L+13.4wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.