Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x180118eace5ad6a0e8247d7d02c67b123704b264c7efcaa7d83bf260a614ceaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Yandexof Team Yandex, Team Spirit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $589,297
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $589,297 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 282 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 45c | 56,218$25,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,370.85 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Yandex | 54c | 55,296$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,296.38 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Yandex | 55c | 48,993$26,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,091.92 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Team Spirit | 47c | 34,809$16,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,498.54 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Team Spirit | 11c | 27,089$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870.41 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Team Yandex | 69c | 13,046$9,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,981.28 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 19c | 11,393$2,183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.03 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Yandex | 74c | 11,032$8,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.83 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Team Spirit | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Team Spirit | 42c | 8,594$3,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,597.55 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Yandex | 69c | 8,080$5,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.73 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Team Spirit | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Team Yandex | 54c | 7,400$3,993 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,407.2 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Team Spirit | 13c | 6,612$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$867.63 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Team Yandex | 56c | 6,000$3,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,659.99 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa88…85a5backed Team Spirit | 43c | 5,692$2,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,461.44 | 696 | 44.5%310 W · 386 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Spirit | 26c | 5,258$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.56 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.99 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Spirit | 14c | 4,685$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.31 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Team Spirit | 38c | 4,190$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.19 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Spirit | 32c | 4,099$1,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,298.69 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit | 43c | 3,777$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.11 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Team Spirit | 15c | 3,410$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Yandex | 69c | 3,263$2,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,018.4 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Yandex | 62c | 3,141$1,939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.92 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Yandex | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.98 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Spirit | 26c | 2,961$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.77 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Yandex | 56c | 2,868$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.54 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 2,716$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,315.5 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Yandex | 65c | 2,711$1,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.16 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Spirit | 20c | 2,510$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Spirit | 15c | 2,380$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.89 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…e80cbacked Team Spirit | 9c | 2,360$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 59 | 10.2%6 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Team Yandex | 59c | 2,350$1,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.83 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Spirit | 43c | 2,230$966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.9 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Spirit | 32c | 2,150$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.77 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 2,022$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.72 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Team Spirit | 35c | 2,021$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 24c | 1,945$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.86 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Team Spirit | 9c | 1,894$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.55 | 804 | 43.9%353 W · 451 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa827…dcc2backed Team Spirit | 45c | 1,833$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4b…1b8bbacked Team Spirit | 11c | 1,750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Spirit | 47c | 1,724$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.88 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Team Spirit | 51c | 1,567$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 338 | 50.9%172 W · 166 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Team Yandex | 72c | 1,542$1,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.72 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…cbdcbacked Team Spirit | 23c | 1,473$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.2 | 149 | 43%64 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 1,443$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.48 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9887…fe5cbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 104 | 53.8%56 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa97f…a818backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,400$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 587 | 44%258 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 47c | 1,326$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 36c | 1,299$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.09 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Team Spirit | 48c | 1,229$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked Team Spirit | 45c | 1,227$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Spirit | 17c | 1,177$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.7 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Team Spirit | 15c | 1,171$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.15 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 1,129$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530.68 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Team Spirit | 10c | 1,031$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.95 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Team Spirit | 11c | 1,015$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Team Yandex | 56c | 1,000$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Yandex | 53c | 951.69$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.69 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Team Spirit | 34c | 899.98$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.23 | 551 | 47.5%262 W · 289 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Team Spirit | 22c | 899.97$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.87 | 971 | 42.7%415 W · 556 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Team Spirit | 10c | 899.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…90b2backed Team Yandex | 65c | 895.68$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Yandex | 58c | 883.31$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.09 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb752…cabcbacked Team Spirit | 6c | 871.43$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Team Spirit | 6c | 849.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Spirit | 47c | 848.22$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.35 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Yandex | 68c | 846.43$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.78 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…33ddbacked Team Spirit | 10c | 825.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.06 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Team Spirit | 15c | 804.66$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.14 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x490b…eec9backed Team Spirit | 46c | 798.82$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 790.19$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.8 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…fb7bbacked Team Yandex | 52c | 769.52$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.52 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f24…9141backed Team Spirit | 37c | 740$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.17 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Team Spirit | 11c | 724.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.85 | 441 | 49.4%218 W · 223 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f0b…5662backed Team Spirit | 44c | 691$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d1…1de7backed Team Spirit | 44c | 673$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Spirit | 43c | 653.56$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.57 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Yandex | 74c | 638.88$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.11 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c19…bfaebacked Team Spirit | 44c | 629.88$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…773abacked Team Spirit | 44c | 620$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 16c | 598.33$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 15c | 594.15$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.03 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 8c | 590.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Team Spirit | 45c | 584.22$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.07 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 46c | 558.08$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.72 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Team Yandex | 55c | 533$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.85 | 335 | 49.9%167 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Spirit | 46c | 512.13$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.58 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Yandex | 55c | 500$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Team Spirit | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +45%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1391…6b3fbacked Team Spirit | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1019…d7cabacked Team Spirit | 47c | 482.86$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.26 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Spirit | 18c | 480.11$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Team Spirit | 47c | 472.46$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.25 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Team Spirit | 22c | 454.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ff…17c9backed Team Spirit | 17c | 436.77$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.74 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Yandex | 62c | 427.73$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.28 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1b…de56backed Team Spirit | 48c | 417.33$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.89 | 153 | 38.6%59 W · 94 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Yandex | 52c | 410.4$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.89 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit (BO3) - ESL One Birmingham PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Team Spirit - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Team Spirit (+1.5)Team Spirit won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.