Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7e1c50e6715c35efec16582604e8b3fbdbdba1156c96aba8687496eca7f9c45a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Heroic, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $599,890
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $599,890 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 513 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic | 31c | 76,170$23,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,400 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid | 67c | 34,091$22,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,277.69 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Team Liquid | 66c | 21,764$14,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,470.99 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Heroic | 33c | 21,000$6,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,920.01 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 66c | 20,615$13,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,009.24 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x886e…afd6backed Heroic | 33c | 15,193$5,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,060 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Heroic | 33c | 9,801$3,186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,186.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid | 76c | 7,664$5,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,862.14 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Heroic | 17c | 7,488$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.49 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab5b…316cbacked Team Liquid | 72c | 7,255$5,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.78 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Heroic | 31c | 7,250$2,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.91 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 34c | 6,855$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.89 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 6,665$4,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.57 | 360 | 41.4%149 W · 211 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd857…c092backed Heroic | 33c | 6,375$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.35 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Heroic | 34c | 6,000$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.64 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe61…4665backed Team Liquid | 66c | 5,625$3,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Heroic | 21c | 5,580$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.05 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed Team Liquid | 65c | 5,472$3,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,918.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked Heroic | 40c | 5,454$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.6 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…0664backed Team Liquid | 69c | 5,284$3,646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Heroic | 39c | 5,200$2,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,047.71 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Heroic | 45c | 5,140$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,294.02 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 5,000$3,336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.27 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid | 60c | 4,500$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Heroic | 27c | 4,298$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,141.82 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6304…e570backed Team Liquid | 67c | 4,200$2,814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.99 | 276 | 45.3%125 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb110…21eabacked Team Liquid | 65c | 4,187$2,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.88 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…282dbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 4,148$2,686 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.14 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Heroic | 29c | 4,000$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.99 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Heroic | 31c | 3,805$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809c…eca3backed Team Liquid | 70c | 3,754$2,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.1 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f5…c074backed Heroic | 16c | 3,651$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Heroic | 17c | 3,521$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.85 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 3,250$2,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.5 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Heroic | 28c | 3,201$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.45 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f99…f4d5backed Heroic | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 2,985$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.07 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e26…e4d1backed Team Liquid | 78c | 2,945$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8e…962bbacked Heroic | 38c | 2,665$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.85 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…b476backed Team Liquid | 64c | 2,500$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b89…1069backed Team Liquid | 79c | 2,493$1,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.62 | 156 | 53.8%84 W · 72 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Team Liquid | 69c | 2,418$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.37 | 291 | 60.1%175 W · 116 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa7…889cbacked Team Liquid | 77c | 2,270$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$521.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Team Liquid | 67c | 2,169$1,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.42 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Liquid | 63c | 2,141$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.16 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Liquid | 79c | 2,141$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.99 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Team Liquid | 70c | 2,126$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.34 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x515c…fd9abacked Heroic | 38c | 2,013$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Heroic | 24c | 2,003$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.18 | 227 | 27.3%62 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9de…2345backed Heroic | 34c | 1,910$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x525a…7038backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,887$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc5…d1a4backed Heroic | 16c | 1,867$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.77 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9b…3de2backed Heroic | 36c | 1,836$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.46 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Team Liquid | 55c | 1,830$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…b250backed Heroic | 29c | 1,773$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.56 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -7.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Team Liquid | 69c | 1,734$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.96 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -11.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 72c | 1,690$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.8 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 32c | 1,688$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.98 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ac…a924backed Heroic | 36c | 1,605$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.76 | 95 | 55.8%53 W · 42 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Heroic | 32c | 1,565$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,549$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.36 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7c…5947backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,525$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Team Liquid | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 399 | 36.8%147 W · 252 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heroic | 20c | 1,385$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.54 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…cff5backed Heroic | 16c | 1,260$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.59 | 336 | 44%148 W · 188 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Heroic | 35c | 1,244$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.1 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…9be5backed Team Liquid | 79c | 1,206$952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.82 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Heroic | 33c | 1,136$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.55 | 858 | 51.3%440 W · 418 L | +30.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heroic | 33c | 1,124$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.68 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked Heroic | 34c | 1,122$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.46 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Heroic | 21c | 1,114$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.28 | 241 | 37.3%90 W · 151 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Heroic | 37c | 1,090$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.29 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…6774backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,090$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.63 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -40%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Heroic | 34c | 1,007$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc20b…2fb8backed Heroic | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked Heroic | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Team Liquid | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc4…91a1backed Team Liquid | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Liquid | 67c | 1,000$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked Heroic | 31c | 1,000$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Heroic | 34c | 999.99$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Heroic | 18c | 993.54$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.18 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0640…1cd6backed Heroic | 20c | 991.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed Heroic | 33c | 954.95$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.13 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedce…412ebacked Heroic | 15c | 950.01$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.14 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd73e…bb87backed Team Liquid | 71c | 863.33$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.93 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed Heroic | 37c | 835.98$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.31 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Liquid | 59c | 815.23$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.24 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6683…de6bbacked Team Liquid | 70c | 813.52$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.73 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Heroic | 34c | 808.67$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.95 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid | 77c | 805.97$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.19 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Heroic | 34c | 799.97$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.99 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Heroic | 25c | 798.04$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -8.2wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8c…f872backed Team Liquid | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Heroic | 31c | 749.01$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.04 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Heroic | 14c | 744.12$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -37%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Heroic | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5264…54cebacked Team Liquid | 77c | 734.13$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.63 | 123 | 48%59 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…f602backed Heroic | 36c | 710.67$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?No won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.