Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd68727618f21adecc789cd3b2933d74a54e8b2af6bd5731705d5b92f7d6eee74

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Team Liquidof Heroic, Team Liquid
Resolved: Mar 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $499,357

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,357 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 357 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9750…263dbacked Heroic	37c	81,212$30,361 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30,361	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	46cpaid	-64.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid	62c	60,362$37,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22,869.91	551	57%314 W · 237 L	+17.4wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62f2…07f8backed Team Liquid	64c	52,628$33,581 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,046.95	142	53.5%76 W · 66 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic	36c	34,018$12,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,154.93	545	56.5%308 W · 237 L	+10.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Heroic	29c	31,000$9,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,026.7	161	47.2%76 W · 85 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Heroic	36c	30,381$10,886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,886.38	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3aa…1485backed Team Liquid	71c	23,343$16,574 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,769.49	68	52.9%36 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x910d…cfc0backed Heroic	20c	9,085$1,798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,797.6	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid	63c	8,087$5,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,968.75	287	48.8%140 W · 147 L	-4.9wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Team Liquid	62c	7,245$4,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,753.23	426	50%213 W · 213 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacce…72e8backed Heroic	42c	6,981$2,948 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,947.53	34	35.3%12 W · 22 L	-5.6wins	-0.16per pick	52cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Team Liquid	63c	6,805$4,285 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,519.83	965	57.4%554 W · 411 L	+49.5wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic	34c	5,953$2,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,030.46	130	20%26 W · 104 L	-6.3wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85d2…cc46backed Heroic	36c	5,606$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid	61c	5,298$3,251 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,046.97	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8310…8967backed Team Liquid	63c	5,000$3,150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,849.99	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+8.5wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Team Liquid	64c	4,866$3,114 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,751.67	201	56.7%114 W · 87 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Team Liquid	50c	4,554$2,261 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,292.5	330	41.8%138 W · 192 L	-9.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a46…ab25backed Team Liquid	63c	4,418$2,793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,625.43	121	56.2%68 W · 53 L	+7.6wins	+0.06per pick	50cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Liquid	63c	4,267$2,682 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,585.14	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f9…cf34backed Team Liquid	73c	4,200$3,066 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,134	186	61.8%115 W · 71 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	66cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid	47c	4,023$1,900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,123.49	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Heroic	16c	3,852$633 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$633.14	2,012	44.2%889 W · 1,123 L	+36.6wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Team Liquid	70c	3,810$2,673 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,137.06	779	41.1%320 W · 459 L	-7.9wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic	39c	3,255$1,278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,278.32	606	46.9%284 W · 322 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid	42c	3,060$1,297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,763.19	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1196…fe97backed Heroic	66c	3,053$2,015 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,015.04	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Liquid	76c	3,039$2,308 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$730.73	1,821	45%820 W · 1,001 L	+33.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid	77c	2,968$2,277 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$690.89	517	51.3%265 W · 252 L	+21.8wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Heroic	47c	2,555$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,199.8	79	50.6%40 W · 39 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid	76c	2,376$1,806 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$570.12	183	62.8%115 W · 68 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Heroic	22c	2,262$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.6	804	43.9%353 W · 451 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-11%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked Heroic	7c	2,224$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.87	378	11.1%42 W · 336 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d85…c436backed Heroic	21c	2,179$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.55	508	32.9%167 W · 341 L	-14.8wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Team Liquid	50c	2,158$1,073 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,084.33	242	51.7%125 W · 117 L	+21.0wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Team Liquid	61c	2,082$1,270 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$812.15	360	41.4%149 W · 211 L	-22.2wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xedce…412ebacked Heroic	6c	2,053$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.02	47	19.1%9 W · 38 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-53.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Heroic	36c	1,944$693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$692.96	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Team Liquid	76c	1,867$1,418 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$448.77	1,155	47.8%552 W · 603 L	+29.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b99…8bddbacked Heroic	40c	1,786$708 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.72	774	58.5%453 W · 321 L	+75.1wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xae10…d0d9backed Team Liquid	67c	1,779$1,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$578.54	173	53.2%92 W · 81 L	+8.6wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x540d…c8f9backed Heroic	28c	1,774$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.52	388	55.2%214 W · 174 L	+29.8wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed Heroic	18c	1,756$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.75	54	31.5%17 W · 37 L	+2.0wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Heroic	36c	1,693$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.18	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x930e…38cfbacked Heroic	6c	1,600$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.5	370	18.9%70 W · 300 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f04…1d79backed Heroic	33c	1,600$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.99	113	31.9%36 W · 77 L	-7.1wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Liquid	63c	1,581$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$581.13	534	51.7%276 W · 258 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2aad…88d4backed Team Liquid	79c	1,470$1,161 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.7	144	43.8%63 W · 81 L	-6.5wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Team Liquid	78c	1,343$1,047 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.43	799	59.4%475 W · 324 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xcf0a…320abacked Heroic	26c	1,329$346 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$345.88	920	56.4%519 W · 401 L	+78.3wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Team Liquid	63c	1,318$830 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$487.68	536	52.6%282 W · 254 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Team Liquid	77c	1,310$1,009 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$301.3	156	53.8%84 W · 72 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9de4…7f2ebacked Heroic	39c	1,281$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$499.49	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed Team Liquid	56c	1,247$694 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.86	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+11.1wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb17a…c30dbacked Heroic	37c	1,200$444 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$443.99	30	60%18 W · 12 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Heroic	21c	1,191$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.04	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.7wins	-0.08per pick	40cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c2…c023backed Team Liquid	56c	1,180$657 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$523.42	489	54.6%267 W · 222 L	+23.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic	33c	1,176$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.59	605	52.6%318 W · 287 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35a6…cb8fbacked Heroic	38c	1,122$426 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$426.24	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	57cpaid	-33%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic	57c	1,078$614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.44	380	49.2%187 W · 193 L	+13.1wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+168.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked Team Liquid	65c	1,073$695 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$378.51	165	50.9%84 W · 81 L	-6.1wins	-0.04per pick	55cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid	65c	1,036$670 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$365.61	115	49.6%57 W · 58 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4214…db99backed Heroic	40c	1,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	363	43.3%157 W · 206 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f9…32b1backed Heroic	32c	997.24$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.23	312	45.8%143 W · 169 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a4…4249backed Heroic	54c	978.01$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.83	196	64.8%127 W · 69 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	65cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x363a…4a8dbacked Team Liquid	65c	928.24$601 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$327.17	82	58.5%48 W · 34 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	63cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Heroic	35c	924.69$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	153	45.8%70 W · 83 L	-7.2wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic	37c	892.53$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.24	894	40.3%360 W · 534 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Heroic	6c	889.99$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	613	2.1%13 W · 600 L	-23.4wins	-0.04per pick	6cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6dc5…d1a4backed Heroic	38c	888.37$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.58	90	45.6%41 W · 49 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf91c…baa7backed Heroic	31c	888$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275.28	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…e5d6backed Team Liquid	65c	858.95$558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$300.63	37	64.9%24 W · 13 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	63cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c57…47aabacked Team Liquid	65c	847.95$549 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$298.81	45	44.4%20 W · 25 L	-4.1wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked Team Liquid	72c	846.88$610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$237.13	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+4.9wins	+0.17per pick	59cpaid	+32.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Heroic	32c	846.46$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.54	357	58%207 W · 150 L	+26.0wins	+0.07per pick	51cpaid	+7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Heroic	40c	813.03$324 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$323.81	576	54.5%314 W · 262 L	+29.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3fb…19c0backed Heroic	37c	810.36$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	67	35.8%24 W · 43 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-8.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc6…85f2backed Heroic	40c	800$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5618…f2c0backed Team Liquid	60c	800$480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$320	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+12.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a38…fee0backed Team Liquid	64c	793.75$508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.75	603	49.9%301 W · 302 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc327…c72abacked Heroic	41c	761.42$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.75	117	53%62 W · 55 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…9d98backed Heroic	32c	755$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.85	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Team Liquid	68c	735.37$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235.37	77	50.6%39 W · 38 L	-9.7wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Liquid	62c	726.19$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$275.95	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Heroic	9c	703.73$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.06	336	45.5%153 W · 183 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2416…6e91backed Team Liquid	63c	699.98$441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258.99	386	53.9%208 W · 178 L	+10.1wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked Team Liquid	63c	682.68$428 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$254.45	358	50.6%181 W · 177 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8430…3961backed Team Liquid	74c	669.91$495 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$175.09	303	56.4%171 W · 132 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x538e…c195backed Team Liquid	62c	661.71$410 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.45	129	66.7%86 W · 43 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Heroic	20c	645.1$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.07	61	45.9%28 W · 33 L	+2.3wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Team Liquid	63c	632.5$398 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$234.1	436	47.5%207 W · 229 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Team Liquid	36c	631.88$229 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$402.83	184	44.6%82 W · 102 L	+12.2wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+25.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Team Liquid	64c	627.48$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$227.48	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a60…d74fbacked Heroic	39c	626$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.36	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.33per pick	33cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e32…6e95backed Heroic	8c	600$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.25	47	17%8 W · 39 L	-2.1wins	-0.04per pick	21cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae4c…dcb9backed Heroic	63c	600$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378	285	49.1%140 W · 145 L	+4.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Heroic	38c	599.99$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228	227	27.3%62 W · 165 L	-9.7wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Heroic	21c	589.99$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	206	42.2%87 W · 119 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Heroic	43c	586.52$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	1,137	42.3%481 W · 656 L	-27.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Liquid	69c	584.41$404 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$180.46	326	52.1%170 W · 156 L	+8.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 WinnerTeam Liquid won
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?No won
Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Team Liquid won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event