Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfc87b56806e1b633287adbbaf27ae84db7ac451bf36850efe486c258d7e2b2e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquidof Heroic, Team Liquid
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $864,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $864,229 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 428 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Liquid | 61c | 78,039$47,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,333.28 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Heroic | 40c | 58,900$23,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,331.87 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Team Liquid | 63c | 40,684$25,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,063.26 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Liquid | 60c | 39,785$23,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,811.99 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Heroic | 50c | 30,671$15,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,474.26 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Heroic | 39c | 23,868$9,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,308.5 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…96a5backed Heroic | 37c | 22,642$8,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,377.69 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Heroic | 39c | 18,027$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8310…8967backed Heroic | 39c | 12,774$5,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,012.08 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Heroic | 43c | 12,314$5,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300.79 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Heroic | 41c | 11,078$4,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,580 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Team Liquid | 57c | 10,619$6,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.75 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Team Liquid | 51c | 9,699$4,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.61 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Liquid | 60c | 9,105$5,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,642.17 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Liquid | 20c | 8,427$1,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,747.55 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Heroic | 43c | 7,838$3,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,401.59 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Team Liquid | 61c | 7,625$4,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,000.05 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Heroic | 39c | 7,398$2,866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,866.46 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Team Liquid | 61c | 7,245$4,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,828.21 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22d1…b52bbacked Team Liquid | 26c | 6,712$1,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,986.45 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18bb…e5cdbacked Heroic | 41c | 6,664$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.9 | 130 | 20%26 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Team Liquid | 63c | 6,394$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380.08 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Liquid | 59c | 6,157$3,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,514.11 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Liquid | 55c | 4,691$2,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,098.86 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Heroic | 39c | 3,890$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.12 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Team Liquid | 59c | 3,890$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.9 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Heroic | 58c | 3,829$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.76 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…41fcbacked Heroic | 40c | 3,766$1,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,502.66 | 606 | 46.9%284 W · 322 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked Team Liquid | 36c | 3,761$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.03 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Team Liquid | 20c | 3,725$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.47 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Liquid | 58c | 3,640$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.49 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Team Liquid | 28c | 3,589$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,588.97 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Heroic | 61c | 3,254$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Heroic | 37c | 3,103$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.08 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Team Liquid | 59c | 2,972$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.48 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf96f…b5e5backed Heroic | 39c | 2,951$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.49 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc167…51b0backed Team Liquid | 60c | 2,923$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Liquid | 70c | 2,833$1,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.97 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Liquid | 57c | 2,630$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.95 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Heroic | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 145 | 15.2%22 W · 123 L | -16.5wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f9…cf34backed Heroic | 61c | 2,461$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.21 | 186 | 61.8%115 W · 71 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Liquid | 57c | 2,311$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.21 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Heroic | 41c | 2,276$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$931.81 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…d0d9backed Team Liquid | 38c | 2,187$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.51 | 173 | 53.2%92 W · 81 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Heroic | 49c | 2,165$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.31 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf906…b98ebacked Heroic | 10c | 2,152$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Liquid | 48c | 2,152$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.89 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2416…6e91backed Heroic | 43c | 2,151$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.66 | 386 | 53.9%208 W · 178 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Heroic | 42c | 2,134$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Heroic | 64c | 2,096$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.23 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…756abacked Heroic | 76c | 2,000$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.72 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3aa…1485backed Team Liquid | 59c | 2,000$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.46 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8d75backed Heroic | 63c | 1,944$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.47 | 242 | 51.7%125 W · 117 L | +21.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Team Liquid | 64c | 1,848$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.28 | 153 | 45.8%70 W · 83 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Heroic | 39c | 1,680$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.2 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,616$969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.56 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Liquid | 51c | 1,611$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.98 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Heroic | 42c | 1,599$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.06 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Heroic | 61c | 1,584$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.2 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7c…5a30backed Heroic | 56c | 1,576$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.66 | 95 | 44.2%42 W · 53 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Team Liquid | 60c | 1,517$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.61 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Heroic | 5c | 1,500$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c30dbacked Heroic | 37c | 1,400$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.9 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5565…e5d6backed Team Liquid | 67c | 1,285$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.44 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aad…88d4backed Heroic | 74c | 1,265$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.05 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x249f…fed3backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,252$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.01 | 626 | 50.5%316 W · 310 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d31…0286backed Heroic | 40c | 1,233$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8375…ba1dbacked Team Liquid | 61c | 1,189$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.82 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Heroic | 33c | 1,168$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Heroic | 71c | 1,126$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.17 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Team Liquid | 59c | 1,120$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.36 | 129 | 66.7%86 W · 43 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,119$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.81 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Heroic | 62c | 1,090$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.48 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Team Liquid | 75c | 1,072$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.6 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Liquid | 61c | 1,068$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Liquid | 62c | 1,052$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.35 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Liquid | 68c | 1,046$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.83 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Team Liquid | 52c | 1,042$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.17 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Heroic | 48c | 1,035$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.98 | 318 | 35.8%114 W · 204 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc327…c72abacked Heroic | 68c | 1,028$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.17 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d4…33d8backed Team Liquid | 71c | 1,007$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.54 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Team Liquid | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Liquid | 61c | 998.15$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.02 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Team Liquid | 13c | 977.68$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.87 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a4…4249backed Heroic | 78c | 905.11$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.29 | 196 | 64.8%127 W · 69 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked Team Liquid | 45c | 860.08$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.62 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +4.9wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…5539backed Heroic | 77c | 813.33$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.13 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc45e…d7ecbacked Team Liquid | 54c | 807.29$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7e…3248backed Heroic | 32c | 803.33$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.7 | 87 | 26.4%23 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Heroic | 50c | 800$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.95 | 236 | 50.4%119 W · 117 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Team Liquid | 60c | 800$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Team Liquid | 11c | 800$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Heroic | 55c | 800$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Heroic | 62c | 799.6$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.22 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c29…21aabacked Team Liquid | 61c | 715.05$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.08 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Liquid | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c29…fb0bbacked Team Liquid | 65c | 698.72$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.72 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Heroic | 55c | 687.32$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 920 | 56.4%519 W · 401 L | +78.3wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…12cabacked Heroic | 40c | 683.23$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.29 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9c…101cbacked Team Liquid | 69c | 676.03$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.85 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid (BO3) - PGL Wallachia PlayoffsTeam Liquid won
- Dota 2: Heroic vs Team Liquid - Game 1 WinnerTeam Liquid won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?No won
- Game Handicap: Liquid (-1.5) vs Heroic (+1.5)Team Liquid won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.