NBA · resolved market
Kings vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82e64056d7a94b811f3e3bf5cb6f4ecd6a59c5ffef452163b503b79374730dbc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kingsof Kings, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,869,049
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,934,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,869,049 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,758 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 57c | 555,343$315,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315,492.23 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 399,894$230,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230,938.6 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Kings | 43c | 348,837$150,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198,837.02 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a57…2afabacked Kings | 45c | 181,644$81,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,603 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Kings | 42c | 168,173$71,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96,875.69 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kings | 42c | 154,304$65,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,032.35 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa898…8d2ebacked Grizzlies | 57c | 87,254$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…d373backed Grizzlies | 57c | 82,088$46,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,589.24 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4d…e246backed Kings | 43c | 60,000$25,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,200 | 296 | 50.3%149 W · 147 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed Kings | 43c | 58,410$25,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,293.7 | 308 | 45.8%141 W · 167 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kings | 44c | 50,000$22,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,000 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 57c | 50,000$28,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,499.97 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 43c | 48,975$20,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,978.38 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Kings | 59c | 45,640$26,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,890.49 | 127 | 40.9%52 W · 75 L | -15.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Kings | 42c | 45,000$19,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,899.95 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Kings | 42c | 44,467$18,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,813.69 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Grizzlies | 55c | 42,188$23,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,104.74 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe734…8f6abacked Kings | 44c | 41,000$18,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,960 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Kings | 42c | 40,000$16,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,199.94 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Kings | 46c | 40,000$18,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,799.86 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Kings | 42c | 37,181$15,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,509.97 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Kings | 42c | 36,923$15,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,415.47 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc0…4429backed Kings | 43c | 36,000$15,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,459.8 | 483 | 43.7%211 W · 272 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Kings | 44c | 35,998$15,679 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,318.82 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Grizzlies | 58c | 31,999$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,399.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kings | 41c | 30,847$12,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,175.99 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Kings | 43c | 30,011$13,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,006.06 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 58c | 30,000$17,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,300.17 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Kings | 42c | 29,860$12,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,260.88 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3280…ea74backed Grizzlies | 57c | 28,268$16,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,176 | 95 | 31.6%30 W · 65 L | -11.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x648d…1366backed Kings | 40c | 27,723$11,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,633.67 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…9838backed Kings | 74c | 26,147$19,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.74 | 209 | 47.8%100 W · 109 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c0…eaf9backed Grizzlies | 61c | 26,106$15,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,924.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec9…8d0bbacked Kings | 60c | 26,085$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,485.06 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0a…f89ebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 25,000$13,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,850 | 382 | 51%195 W · 187 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Grizzlies | 57c | 24,375$13,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,997.14 | 208 | 49.5%103 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 18c | 24,114$4,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,337.34 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Kings | 43c | 23,023$9,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,123.26 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Kings | 43c | 22,319$9,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,826.99 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Grizzlies | 16c | 20,540$3,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,277.61 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Kings | 42c | 20,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,600 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Grizzlies | 56c | 20,000$11,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,299.93 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Kings | 42c | 19,477$8,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,296.85 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Kings | 38c | 19,437$7,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,050.94 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fac…c80bbacked Kings | 39c | 18,078$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,027.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0865…3dffbacked Grizzlies | 45c | 17,942$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Kings | 44c | 17,500$7,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,712.81 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…bdfabacked Grizzlies | 59c | 17,010$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 37c | 16,225$6,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,012.53 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e41…a1c1backed Kings | 43c | 15,998$6,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,048.67 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Grizzlies | 58c | 15,966$9,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,260.28 | 384 | 34.9%134 W · 250 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Grizzlies | 24c | 15,709$3,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,788.75 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Grizzlies | 71c | 15,669$11,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,130.08 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdab4…a27abacked Kings | 43c | 15,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,599.99 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Grizzlies | 36c | 14,649$5,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,324.24 | 894 | 44.4%397 W · 497 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2487…fa80backed Grizzlies | 57c | 14,000$7,980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,979.93 | 180 | 45%81 W · 99 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f8…6699backed Grizzlies | 60c | 13,861$8,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,339.77 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…8e25backed Grizzlies | 56c | 13,171$7,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,375.64 | 232 | 57.8%134 W · 98 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grizzlies | 36c | 12,811$4,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,628.34 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kings | 44c | 12,500$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.99 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Grizzlies | 58c | 12,121$7,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,030 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Grizzlies | 0c | 11,966$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies | 40c | 11,964$4,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,759.35 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 22c | 11,674$2,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,530.18 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Grizzlies | 16c | 11,447$1,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,837.46 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…ad81backed Grizzlies | 2c | 10,796$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.42 | 317 | 9.5%30 W · 287 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc825…4530backed Kings | 63c | 10,636$6,707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,929.33 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Grizzlies | 43c | 10,513$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x539d…0213backed Grizzlies | 80c | 10,195$8,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,152.81 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5798…ab44backed Kings | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,700 | 157 | 40.8%64 W · 93 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Grizzlies | 4c | 10,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 113 | 44.2%50 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Grizzlies | 60c | 10,000$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Grizzlies | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.99 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Kings | 42c | 10,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,799.97 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 19c | 10,000$1,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,914.15 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd227…e78bbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 9,880$5,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,730.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Kings | 43c | 9,860$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,620.04 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked Kings | 43c | 9,000$3,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,130 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…959abacked Grizzlies | 55c | 8,794$4,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830.99 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Grizzlies | 57c | 8,691$4,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,961.2 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad7…50cfbacked Kings | 39c | 8,500$3,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,185.13 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Kings | 43c | 8,223$3,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,687.26 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Kings | 43c | 8,011$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,566.07 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 57c | 8,000$4,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,560 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xceb5…3fbfbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 8,000$4,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,639.98 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Grizzlies | 62c | 7,895$4,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,868.95 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings | 39c | 7,873$3,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,808.87 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Grizzlies | 57c | 7,800$4,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,446 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f6c…b40cbacked Kings | 43c | 7,600$3,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,332 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x38ed…4ed7backed Grizzlies | 58c | 7,500$4,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,350 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.25per pick | 49cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Kings | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,275.34 | 173 | 48.6%84 W · 89 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Kings | 28c | 7,146$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,165.32 | 393 | 49.1%193 W · 200 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…6e4ebacked Grizzlies | 55c | 7,089$3,891 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,891.05 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646e…3b1dbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 7,010$4,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,065.79 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -9.4wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Kings | 43c | 7,000$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,990 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Kings | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 269 | 49.1%132 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdac…f7e2backed Grizzlies | 60c | 6,801$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.5 | 191 | 36.1%69 W · 122 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9bd…173fbacked Grizzlies | 61c | 6,718$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02b8…4b6dbacked Kings | 39c | 6,262$2,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,819.56 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +132.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kings vs. Grizzliesthis page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Kings won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Kings won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Kings won
- Taylor Hendricks: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5No won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.