NBA · resolved market
Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x542b8eb5b86b401b308c340ffee299cc9cfa93972f3e53894e7d6a4164619444
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,682
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,682 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe593…cc7dbacked Yes | 37c | 3,393$1,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.33 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked No | 63c | 1,889$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.52 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 63c | 1,508$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.93 | 657 | 50.1%329 W · 328 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e4…6c9abacked Yes | 10c | 1,401$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 68c | 1,352$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.33 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…9723backed No | 66c | 1,309$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.1 | 260 | 69.2%180 W · 80 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…ee95backed Yes | 37c | 908$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9719…6ffabacked No | 68c | 735.98$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.51 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4792…d1c8backed Yes | 32c | 697.47$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed No | 68c | 600$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 657 | 62.3%409 W · 248 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed Yes | 32c | 471.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1078…b0a2backed Yes | 34c | 347.06$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bc…f2fabacked Yes | 32c | 334.72$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.13 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed No | 64c | 279$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 35c | 240$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf10…557ebacked Yes | 20c | 232.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d65…e347backed Yes | 32c | 154.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.53 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4532…3519backed Yes | 30c | 132.07$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f46…c777backed Yes | 32c | 126.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabdd…2d96backed No | 76c | 123.95$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 602 | 67.3%405 W · 197 L | +46.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…c612backed Yes | 31c | 122.69$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc562…7c61backed Yes | 33c | 106$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 377 | 50.4%190 W · 187 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…798abacked No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cf…f4d1backed Yes | 30c | 99.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Yes | 35c | 98.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 326 | 54.3%177 W · 149 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed No | 70c | 96.33$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.93 | 119 | 42.9%51 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cab…4034backed Yes | 33c | 93.94$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…121bbacked Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Yes | 31c | 80.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8568…38e7backed Yes | 34c | 72.12$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed No | 65c | 60.31$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 831 | 58.1%483 W · 348 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa390…c7d9backed Yes | 36c | 55.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked No | 79c | 38.09$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked No | 64c | 25.46$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…eaafbacked Yes | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5767…8cc1backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,084 | 42.4%460 W · 624 L | -48.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5this page
- 1H Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Kings won
- Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
- DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
- Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Kings vs. GrizzliesKings won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineKings won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
- Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Maxime Raynaud: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Kings won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Kings won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Kings won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Kings won
- Taylor Hendricks: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
- Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.