TailMyPicks
Market

NBA · resolved market

Maxime Raynaud: Rebounds O/U 10.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,728
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,757

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,728 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Yes43c899.77$389 inWon+$510.675,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa7…eb68backed No57c868.42$495 inLost-$4958145.7%37 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked No50c231$117 inLost-$116.521,75961.7%1,085 W · 674 L+127.5wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed No51c206.12$105 inLost-$105.1211942.9%51 W · 68 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon+$104.0823850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes49c72.85$36 inWon+$36.994,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Yes48c69.56$33 inWon+$36.17650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes50c69$35 inWon+$34.587744.7%392 W · 485 L-1.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6894…59d8backed Yes48c40$19 inWon+$20.824645.9%113 W · 133 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5767…8cc1backed No50c39.04$19 inLost-$19.371,08442.4%460 W · 624 L-48.6wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9da…ed70backed No52c22.67$12 inLost-$11.792857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed No52c19.32$10 inLost-$10.0583158.1%483 W · 348 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.