NBA · resolved market

Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90f4a4b15d24d5456a554db895803a233369d12c823de107aa00d9692681c6d7

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Kingsof Grizzlies, Kings
Resolved: Feb 24, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $257,882
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $255,622

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $257,882 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa710…23c4backed Kings	50c	60,378$30,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,189.17	326	53.1%173 W · 153 L	+19.0wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a3a…eb9abacked Kings	56c	42,103$23,524 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,579.84	114	57.9%66 W · 48 L	+6.7wins	+0.06per pick	52cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Grizzlies	50c	19,853$9,926 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,926.44	403	50.1%202 W · 201 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37df…5889backed Grizzlies	50c	19,233$9,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,616.71	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.08per pick	52cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies	43c	17,988$7,735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,734.64	871	44.7%389 W · 482 L	+14.9wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Grizzlies	44c	10,602$4,662 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,662.16	316	44.6%141 W · 175 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Kings	52c	10,375$5,395 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,980.25	30	50%15 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Kings	57c	7,627$4,347 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,279.44	172	51.7%89 W · 83 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Grizzlies	47c	7,588$3,567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,566.57	265	44.9%119 W · 146 L	-8.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Grizzlies	46c	7,545$3,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,505.84	4,781	50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L	+20.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies	45c	7,381$3,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,353.78	9,722	49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L	-2.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies	45c	6,938$3,122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,122.1	2,666	48%1,279 W · 1,387 L	-8.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Grizzlies	50c	5,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	209	45.5%95 W · 114 L	+10.4wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies	53c	4,600$2,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,437.8	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Grizzlies	43c	4,500$1,935 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,935	185	53%98 W · 87 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Grizzlies	44c	3,500$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,540	587	40%235 W · 352 L	+24.3wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Kings	57c	3,254$1,856 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,398.21	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb02…1986backed Grizzlies	49c	3,222$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.78	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Grizzlies	46c	3,045$1,401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.59	247	44.1%109 W · 138 L	-10.8wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a30…0d34backed Grizzlies	49c	3,044$1,492 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,491.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb300…3356backed Grizzlies	49c	2,943$1,442 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,442.07	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Grizzlies	45c	2,875$1,307 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,306.51	4,682	49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L	+27.2wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda9…b8f0backed Kings	51c	2,766$1,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,355.34	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+41.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Grizzlies	44c	2,728$1,204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,204.06	249	42.2%105 W · 144 L	-9.6wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca3c…8c8ebacked Grizzlies	49c	2,588$1,268 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,268.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cc5…c754backed Kings	51c	2,555$1,303 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.95	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c59…792bbacked Kings	51c	2,536$1,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,242.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	48cpaid	+111.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Grizzlies	48c	2,488$1,194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,194.1	1,562	47.4%741 W · 821 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x656b…513bbacked Kings	51c	2,455$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,202.95	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44ab…8ea4backed Grizzlies	49c	2,444$1,198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197.56	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37b3…f462backed Grizzlies	49c	2,355$1,154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,153.95	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…8f3bbacked Kings	51c	2,301$1,174 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,127.49	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a87…156bbacked Kings	51c	2,170$1,107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,063.3	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc63…f1c7backed Kings	53c	2,100$1,105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.4	506	53.2%269 W · 237 L	+8.7wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Grizzlies	43c	2,098$902 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$902	209	48.8%102 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78f1…5f6abacked Kings	51c	2,076$1,059 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,017.24	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	48cpaid	+111.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bb6…fa2fbacked Grizzlies	49c	2,026$993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$992.74	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Grizzlies	43c	2,007$860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$860	1,645	47.5%782 W · 863 L	+40.9wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a8…8739backed Kings	51c	1,988$1,014 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$974.12	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x393e…de04backed Grizzlies	49c	1,955$958 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$957.95	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67d6…b04bbacked Kings	57c	1,813$1,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.41	32	68.8%22 W · 10 L	+4.2wins	+0.13per pick	56cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x89bd…3f72backed Grizzlies	46c	1,735$798 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$798	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-2.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Kings	47c	1,687$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$894.16	518	44.4%230 W · 288 L	+11.0wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Grizzlies	44c	1,636$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	657	50.1%329 W · 328 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1303…6959backed Kings	51c	1,636$834 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$801.64	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.53per pick	48cpaid	+111.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Kings	52c	1,600$836 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764	890	50.4%449 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xce00…1652backed Kings	51c	1,555$793 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$761.95	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x60fb…c7d4backed Grizzlies	49c	1,520$745 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$744.8	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7e6…b65bbacked Kings	51c	1,465$747 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$717.85	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Kings	56c	1,441$807 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$634.11	409	47.7%195 W · 214 L	-13.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xceb2…80b6backed Grizzlies	49c	1,422$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.78	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.1wins	-0.53per pick	53cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Grizzlies	50c	1,422$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711	377	47.5%179 W · 198 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked Kings	53c	1,415$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.09	127	40.9%52 W · 75 L	-15.3wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.2%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies	44c	1,383$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.84	6,213	50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L	+53.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ebb…061abacked Grizzlies	50c	1,383$691 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$691.36	160	42.5%68 W · 92 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…630cbacked Kings	51c	1,343$685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$658.07	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Kings	52c	1,213$626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$587.71	3,285	49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L	+5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies	46c	1,145$521 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.3	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Grizzlies	45c	1,090$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.5	956	51.5%492 W · 464 L	+23.9wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e16…0127backed Grizzlies	45c	1,080$486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$486	221	43%95 W · 126 L	-12.0wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Kings	53c	1,070$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$503.07	1,908	54.5%1,040 W · 868 L	+53.7wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Grizzlies	48c	1,042$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	509	54.8%279 W · 230 L	+14.8wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies	48c	951.21$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$453.17	3,902	47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L	-17.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Grizzlies	49c	924$453 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.76	583	47%274 W · 309 L	-12.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79b0…ea3bbacked Kings	55c	909.09$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$409.09	151	54.3%82 W · 69 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x177c…bcd1backed Grizzlies	44c	830.57$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.45	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Grizzlies	43c	767.44$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	293	47.4%139 W · 154 L	-5.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x79dc…ca77backed Kings	56c	657$367 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$289.56	119	42.9%51 W · 68 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e3…c09fbacked Grizzlies	48c	647.13$313 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312.62	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	55cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Grizzlies	44c	600$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	493	45.2%223 W · 270 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Grizzlies	43c	568.18$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.32	765	52.9%405 W · 360 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd23…e31fbacked Grizzlies	45c	540.31$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.85	473	54.8%259 W · 214 L	+14.2wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781b…2bdcbacked Grizzlies	49c	472.14$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.35	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9931…ea8cbacked Grizzlies	43c	468.36$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.39	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7509…d031backed Grizzlies	47c	454.04$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.69	208	47.1%98 W · 110 L	-9.5wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Grizzlies	48c	445$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.6	544	43%234 W · 310 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Grizzlies	46c	420.98$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.65	627	44.5%279 W · 348 L	-12.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Kings	55c	412.77$228 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.77	146	47.9%70 W · 76 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Grizzlies	49c	412.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	277	46.6%129 W · 148 L	-6.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Kings	58c	382.76$222 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.76	184	52.7%97 W · 87 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xccfc…e810backed Kings	53c	378.33$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$178.33	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-52.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Grizzlies	44c	372.73$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164	235	46.8%110 W · 125 L	-18.7wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa42a…d91fbacked Kings	58c	370$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$155.4	623	47.5%296 W · 327 L	-17.3wins	-0.03per pick	50cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies	41c	346.34$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.01	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5f…849cbacked Grizzlies	48c	337.5$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	53cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb65c…dcdfbacked Kings	57c	301.23$172 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.53	101	49.5%50 W · 51 L	-7.8wins	-0.08per pick	57cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Kings	54c	300$163 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137	617	47.8%295 W · 322 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d55…7bc7backed Grizzlies	45c	300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	911	48.1%438 W · 473 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Grizzlies	47c	298.51$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.3	511	46.6%238 W · 273 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Kings	53c	295.02$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.27	2,346	48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L	-14.3wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Grizzlies	44c	280$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.2	456	46.7%213 W · 243 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Grizzlies	45c	276.48$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.41	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Kings	58c	260$151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.26	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb107…a3f8backed Kings	53c	244.98$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$114.16	1,018	51.6%525 W · 493 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf10b…2041backed Kings	53c	241.51$128 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$113.51	195	48.7%95 W · 100 L	-6.9wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb590…15d3backed Grizzlies	51c	235.29$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	53	58.5%31 W · 22 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+13.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Grizzlies	44c	225.09$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.04	383	50.4%193 W · 190 L	+12.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c39…20eebacked Grizzlies	44c	221.17$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.31	358	43.6%156 W · 202 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Grizzlies	29c	209.91$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.18	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…6296backed Grizzlies	34c	205.96$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.99	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)this page
1H Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)Kings won
Cam Spencer: Assists O/U 4.5No won
DeMar DeRozan: Points O/U 16.5Yes won
DeMar DeRozan: Rebounds O/U 2.5No won
Jaylen Wells: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Kings vs. GrizzliesKings won
Kings vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineKings won
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Over won
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Over won
Kings vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Over won
Malik Monk: Assists O/U 2.5No won
Malik Monk: Assists O/U 3.5No won
Maxime Raynaud: Points O/U 14.5No won
Maxime Raynaud: Rebounds O/U 10.5Yes won
Nique Clifford: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Nique Clifford: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Nique Clifford: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
Russell Westbrook: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Kings won
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)Kings won
Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Kings won
Taylor Hendricks: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 4.5No won
Ty Jerome: Points O/U 17.5No won
Walter Clayton Jr.: Assists O/U 3.5Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event