NBA · resolved market
Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecb23b1bf49d5fa3ce68f3e816cb61d47886278e0ead2b0babc91ce00ca6bbe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,737,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $803,188
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,737,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 124 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 157,516$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.6 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b9…03b8backed Yes | 3c | 94,937$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +301.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…82e8backed Yes | 1c | 82,789$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Yes | 1c | 65,230$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.87 | 398 | 42.5%169 W · 229 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 62,631$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.52 | 84 | 4.8%4 W · 80 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 1cpaid | +489.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes | 0c | 61,805$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.37 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d5…d1bbbacked Yes | 0c | 38,636$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Yes | 0c | 34,959$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.79 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Yes | 0c | 31,692$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.68 | 145 | 33.1%48 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3269…1e7cbacked Yes | 1c | 30,575$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 1c | 30,488$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 1c | 29,532$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.53 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…00c4backed Yes | 2c | 26,931$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccc…5a0fbacked Yes | 3c | 26,331$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.23 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa002…e840backed Yes | 0c | 24,761$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.39 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd34d…b5c3backed Yes | 0c | 23,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…2db9backed Yes | 1c | 22,799$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.05 | 37 | 2.7%1 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -73%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 21,906$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 59 | 0%0 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca16…f878backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed Yes | 1c | 19,161$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.22 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4505…b0c8backed Yes | 1c | 18,307$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…05e8backed Yes | 0c | 17,700$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ad…ff74backed Yes | 2c | 17,014$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.41 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +355.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…0e68backed Yes | 1c | 16,256$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed Yes | 4c | 15,799$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5533…51babacked Yes | 1c | 14,936$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 1cpaid | +168.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed Yes | 2c | 13,639$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.09 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 17cpaid | +252%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab68…1bb1backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9272…e1c1backed Yes | 1c | 12,093$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30f8…b824backed Yes | 0c | 11,062$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…fd02backed Yes | 0c | 10,406$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfd…32bfbacked Yes | 0c | 10,301$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +764.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 1c | 10,235$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.11 | 844 | 43%363 W · 481 L | -40.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d2…7333backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5166…f454backed Yes | 1c | 9,968$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0c89backed Yes | 0c | 9,567$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 1c | 9,521$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 1,132 | 17%192 W · 940 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c63…185cbacked Yes | 0c | 9,256$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee0c…3e4dbacked Yes | 3c | 8,932$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…b60bbacked Yes | 1c | 8,796$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Yes | 0c | 8,129$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.05 | 412 | 27.4%113 W · 299 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +94.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28c8…283abacked Yes | 1c | 6,517$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 0c | 6,121$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,848$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb123…bf6abacked Yes | 1c | 5,839$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f3…2568backed Yes | 1c | 5,640$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe538…c28bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,284$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca21…b07cbacked Yes | 3c | 5,220$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.72 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4382…7011backed Yes | 0c | 5,091$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…b5c9backed Yes | 1c | 5,076$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,029$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 96 | 9.4%9 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 1c | 5,027$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…5ecdbacked Yes | 0c | 5,019$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f83…643fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ed…7f85backed Yes | 1c | 4,995$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +29%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…24d1backed Yes | 0c | 4,969$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…7a54backed Yes | 1c | 4,955$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x528d…8a30backed Yes | 0c | 4,944$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe44b…6e0abacked Yes | 0c | 4,881$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 234 | 45.7%107 W · 127 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…5fa3backed Yes | 1c | 4,800$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 4,786$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb4…3a0abacked Yes | 1c | 4,771$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Yes | 2c | 4,762$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 258 | 45%116 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…3a0dbacked Yes | 0c | 4,356$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 0c | 4,236$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.58 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 4cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6a…7155backed Yes | 2c | 4,209$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f96…87f3backed Yes | 2c | 4,193$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426a…1376backed Yes | 0c | 3,973$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…5ab8backed Yes | 3c | 3,893$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba1…b4e2backed Yes | 0c | 3,760$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a21…6a2ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,320$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Yes | 3c | 3,271$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 180 | 31.7%57 W · 123 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d79…ae69backed Yes | 1c | 3,220$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a6…644bbacked Yes | 1c | 3,050$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 4c | 3,007$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c6…0d1ebacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce2f…d648backed Yes | 3c | 2,894$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +148.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…71ddbacked Yes | 1c | 2,846$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 256 | 42.2%108 W · 148 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 1c | 2,816$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 43 | 7%3 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 1c | 2,775$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x582f…9cd5backed Yes | 1c | 2,750$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…839bbacked Yes | 1c | 2,748$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaad…9cd2backed Yes | 2c | 2,641$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…b0f8backed Yes | 4c | 2,638$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 0c | 2,591$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…118fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,584$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…0329backed Yes | 1c | 2,548$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06d…5af9backed Yes | 1c | 2,455$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d77…cf31backed Yes | 1c | 2,316$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 9cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…f04cbacked Yes | 1c | 2,079$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce2…7034backed Yes | 1c | 2,068$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8abf…9670backed Yes | 1c | 2,068$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 2cpaid | +200%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02b8…ff77backed Yes | 2c | 2,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +234.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,995$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.51 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +5.7wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…666dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,950$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 4cpaid | +106.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e03…c97bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,925$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd914…0d9abacked Yes | 1c | 1,746$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…2d0dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,698$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 30 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will LeBron James play for the New York Knicks in 2026-27?this page
- Will LeBron James play for the Atlanta Hawks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Boston Celtics in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Brooklyn Nets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Charlotte Hornets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Chicago Bulls in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Dallas Mavericks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Houston Rockets in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Indiana Pacers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Clippers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Milwaukee Bucks in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the New Orleans Pelicans in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Orlando Magic in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?Yes won
- Will LeBron James play for the Phoenix Suns in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Portland Trail Blazers in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the San Antonio Spurs in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Utah Jazz in 2026-27?No won
- Will LeBron James play for the Washington Wizards in 2026-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.