TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group A

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fire Flux Esportsof Omega, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$98,135
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$101,776

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $98,135 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Fire Flux Esports59c20,144$11,879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,265.011,39638.9%543 W · 853 L-41.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbadb…31a7backed Omega42c12,045$5,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,083.0311844.9%53 W · 65 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports41c8,719$3,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,148.925,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x413f…47f3backed Fire Flux Esports49c4,000$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,059.991963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Omega64c3,020$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.5732348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27e4…4803backed Omega45c3,000$1,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,342.613754.1%20 W · 17 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Omega32c2,901$937 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$936.974235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Omega58c2,539$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.691,60552.6%845 W · 760 L+57.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e50…2609backed Fire Flux Esports41c2,500$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.859055.3%326 W · 264 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ab…3bb3backed Omega39c2,490$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9803850%19 W · 19 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2b…825ebacked Fire Flux Esports43c1,915$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,091.4813151.1%67 W · 64 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Omega60c1,566$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.081,47651.8%765 W · 711 L-4.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports44c1,517$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.322,61051.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L+16.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Fire Flux Esports41c1,435$594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.2845854.8%251 W · 207 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Omega55c1,274$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.9867645%304 W · 372 L-24.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Fire Flux Esports55c1,247$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.032,52043%1,084 W · 1,436 L+42.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Fire Flux Esports55c1,243$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.791,76859.2%1,047 W · 721 L+105.5wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Omega39c1,200$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46844839.1%175 W · 273 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x052c…6762backed Omega59c1,190$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick54cpaid-66.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Omega57c1,044$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.9831744.8%142 W · 175 L-0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…bf64backed Omega41c1,031$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.7456941.3%235 W · 334 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed Fire Flux Esports41c975.6$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.61,99853.7%1,073 W · 925 L+5.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Fire Flux Esports71c949.58$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.731,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x391d…f8febacked Omega60c945$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$567742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Omega58c927.64$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.4810647.2%50 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ed0…a9c5backed Omega59c924.15$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.253953.8%21 W · 18 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x051c…ca3fbacked Omega58c858.01$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.6535347.9%169 W · 184 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddbc…5dcebacked Omega59c838.18$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.531250%6 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Fire Flux Esports36c767.53$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.336440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Omega54c727.96$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.14,04050.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L+71.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Omega47c694.92$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.425,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Omega38c666.95$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.311,60646.8%752 W · 854 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked Fire Flux Esports76c658.88$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.888354.2%45 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc50b…672dbacked Fire Flux Esports54c648.17$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.55683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick65cpaid+24.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Fire Flux Esports59c627.37$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.531,08354.2%587 W · 496 L+39.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4e…5c01backed Omega59c626.49$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.63666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e7…4f63backed Omega26c569.62$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489842.9%42 W · 56 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63ef…7d38backed Omega59c550$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.53154.8%17 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bd1…864bbacked Omega60c540$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3242857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Omega58c540$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.412,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports73c530.27$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.243,41529.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L-275.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb40e…7787backed Omega59c523$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.5720643.2%89 W · 117 L-13.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa28e…1654backed Omega38c517.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.761833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked Omega37c516.26$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.023023.3%7 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-39%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x1bac…d241backed Omega43c513.57$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.8440439.6%160 W · 244 L-1.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Fire Flux Esports49c510.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f0…6a90backed Omega13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Omega55c499.99$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.9922754.2%123 W · 104 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Fire Flux Esports42c466.84$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.6238841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d1…bac0backed Omega43c465.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006250%31 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked Omega27c409.3$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1099637.5%36 W · 60 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3f3d…2e18backed Omega59c405$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.951020%2 W · 8 L-3.3wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-56.3%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3a…9e14backed Omega58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2323548.6%17 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Omega57c400$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22815849.4%78 W · 80 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Omega58c398$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.795442.6%23 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x074c…771cbacked Fire Flux Esports52c380.83$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.416963.3%107 W · 62 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Omega12c377.89$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.3569732%223 W · 474 L-46.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Fire Flux Esports45c363.18$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.642,59947.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L-30.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Omega54c352.72$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.4712937.2%48 W · 81 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-35.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Omega39c339.99$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.81346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9a9…e7d8backed Omega59c335.98$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.237252.8%38 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba9…a8d8backed Fire Flux Esports55c318.66$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.440266.2%266 W · 136 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Omega37c305$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.85333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-38.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fire Flux Esports58c285.15$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.732,42944.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L-63.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f4…106cbacked Omega12c280.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.672445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-20.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed Omega64c279.33$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.7746354%250 W · 213 L+12.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8e…0c69backed Omega37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026939%105 W · 164 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd9e…8f17backed Omega59c270$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed Omega38c268.42$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10217644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb2ab…534dbacked Fire Flux Esports26c261.21$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Omega60c253.62$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.988144.4%36 W · 45 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x089c…33dabacked Omega53c250$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.822455.8%125 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb595…5922backed Omega43c248.82$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.9919353.9%104 W · 89 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked Omega59c248.01$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.3316749.1%82 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c4…3212backed Fire Flux Esports42c238.1$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.131261.2%191 W · 121 L+21.8wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xece0…7dc9backed Fire Flux Esports43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.564949%24 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Fire Flux Esports51c219.46$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.0348251.7%249 W · 233 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Omega45c211.23$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.886,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x021a…d3aebacked Omega74c202.3$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.4424942.2%105 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Omega59c200$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11822142.1%93 W · 128 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Omega41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.871,31851.7%682 W · 636 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Fire Flux Esports77c191.65$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.271942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Omega41c189$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.5351055.9%285 W · 225 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd098…8d1cbacked Omega60c187.2$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.323560%21 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Omega49c183.6$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9634941.5%145 W · 204 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Omega40c177.84$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8118135.9%65 W · 116 L-15.0wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Omega50c175.4$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.484,66143.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Omega59c174$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7932949.2%162 W · 167 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d80…6326backed Omega59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Omega21c164.96$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Omega59c149.08$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.9632158.3%187 W · 134 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Fire Flux Esports42c146.07$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.722,60830.9%807 W · 1,801 L-103.7wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Omega54c143.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.761,83041.6%762 W · 1,068 L-68.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6cd3…226ebacked Fire Flux Esports42c142.55$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8337322.3%83 W · 290 L-42.1wins-0.11per pick34cpaid-47%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Fire Flux Esports40c140.19$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.112,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed Fire Flux Esports41c136.59$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5983556.2%469 W · 366 L+31.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dca…0fd5backed Omega36c133.81$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb409…03c2backed Fire Flux Esports37c132.35$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+170.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Omega18c130.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.772,30945.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L-62.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Omega45c128.78$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.724,89737.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L-245.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.