CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd72faf21c1c0ab6a33d1a6ee6df5de9b8a7dc8bffd84fdc3e1fad1398bc3ca18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Omega, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,301
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,301 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 1,512$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.39 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 1,016$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.42 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Omega | 35c | 928.46$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Omega | 42c | 722.46$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 323 | 48.9%158 W · 165 L | -11.5wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Omega | 39c | 600.95$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.26 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…f61abacked Omega | 36c | 416$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed Fire Flux Esports | 75c | 381$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.46 | 97 | 28.9%28 W · 69 L | -10.3wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Omega | 35c | 242.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.08 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Fire Flux Esports | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 312 | 61.2%191 W · 121 L | +21.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Omega | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 721 | 53.7%387 W · 334 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Omega | 28c | 96.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 71.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7dc9backed Omega | 34c | 70.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Omega | 27c | 70$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 258 | 48.8%126 W · 132 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Fire Flux Esports | 75c | 68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -7.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Omega | 33c | 64.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Fire Flux Esports | 78c | 45$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 45$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 218 | 55.5%121 W · 97 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Omega | 33c | 44.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5427…94c0backed Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked Omega | 28c | 43.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Omega | 36c | 39.36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Fire Flux Esports | 57c | 34.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Fire Flux Esports | 59c | 33.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 766 | 46.1%353 W · 413 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Fire Flux Esports | 76c | 30.79$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 171 | 59.6%102 W · 69 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group AFire Flux Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.