TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Fire Flux Esportsof Omega, Fire Flux Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$63,497
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,497 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa103…1c14backed Fire Flux Esports34c4,171$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,753.034650%23 W · 23 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x10d7…bbf6backed Fire Flux Esports56c2,276$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,006.4919468.6%133 W · 61 L+25.9wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+12.3%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked Omega61c1,958$1,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.4922241.4%92 W · 130 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Omega13c1,664$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.382,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6421…045dbacked Fire Flux Esports63c1,636$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.0816248.1%78 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Omega66c1,565$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,032.711,77959.1%1,052 W · 727 L+104.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Omega66c1,512$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.444939.2%176 W · 273 L-0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x270e…53cabacked Fire Flux Esports50c1,502$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$757.768454.8%46 W · 38 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Omega50c1,386$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.871,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e14…783dbacked Fire Flux Esports30c1,346$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.2837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Omega54c960.3$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.952,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Omega22c847.9$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.4119236.5%70 W · 122 L-15.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0328…bd17backed Fire Flux Esports61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.743063.3%19 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Omega53c499.03$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.592,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Omega56c434.63$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.313,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f4…106cbacked Omega70c423.51$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.462548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked Omega22c400$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5211831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa369…3ad6backed Omega63c350.64$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.233146.5%154 W · 177 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Omega37c324.57$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.0772139.7%286 W · 435 L-25.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b27…0635backed Omega29c322$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.2631749.5%157 W · 160 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed Fire Flux Esports58c321$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.822,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b57…de6bbacked Fire Flux Esports38c310.59$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.119443.3%84 W · 110 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc916…6371backed Fire Flux Esports64c308$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.141776.5%13 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x71d6…7248backed Omega7c279.23$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.552810.7%3 W · 25 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-74%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega73c264.59$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.957,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Omega65c247.69$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.8869445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Fire Flux Esports50c230.15$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.052,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Omega65c226.83$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.551,08342.1%456 W · 627 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Fire Flux Esports36c206.22$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.981,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf957…bcb6backed Omega20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405837.9%22 W · 36 L-7.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-40.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports74c181.12$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.982,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Omega71c180$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.21,35252%703 W · 649 L+29.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Omega37c176.72$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.775245.3%341 W · 411 L-1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x203a…935fbacked Omega63c158.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028454.9%156 W · 128 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19ae…395cbacked Fire Flux Esports64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.2524038.3%92 W · 148 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Omega63c152.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.762,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Fire Flux Esports41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8828843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Omega54c136.11$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.843,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19f0…0c9fbacked Omega67c127.58$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+31.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Omega40c127.47$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.434,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb595…4b77backed Omega68c125.29$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855545.5%25 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-20.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf91e…dc10backed Omega65c123.72$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807354.8%40 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Omega73c122.26$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7719050%95 W · 95 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Fire Flux Esports41c121$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.3914335%50 W · 93 L-13.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Omega40c120$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Omega66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5cc6…4593backed Omega37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379340.9%38 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Omega66c99$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.341,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd2…7f61backed Omega43c90.86$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.07540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Fire Flux Esports80c86$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.210036%36 W · 64 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-31.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Fire Flux Esports80c82$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.661942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Omega42c69.12$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6849850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Omega66c63.68$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0327947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Omega16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1096543.5%420 W · 545 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Omega39c62$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1420447.1%96 W · 108 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e9…b2e0backed Omega72c61.11$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd43f…0bb0backed Fire Flux Esports67c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.838131%118 W · 263 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Fire Flux Esports80c58.92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7822053.2%117 W · 103 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf679…2d3dbacked Omega27c55.55$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1536440.1%146 W · 218 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x07e4…186ebacked Omega38c54.33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.733362.2%207 W · 126 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Omega22c53.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.622,46824.6%607 W · 1,861 L-317.8wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.7%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xba8e…8e0dbacked Omega66c50.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3350358.6%295 W · 208 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Fire Flux Esports41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Omega24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1212348.8%60 W · 63 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports37c48$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.481,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf95d…17bcbacked Omega32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-0.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Omega75c46.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7158745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Omega39c46.1$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.862,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc73a…ba42backed Omega64c45.22$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.9412455.6%69 W · 55 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Omega59c43.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.562,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccdc…dbe6backed Omega60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2536749.3%181 W · 186 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports52c40.88$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.824,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Omega64c39.92$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.552,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7497…9a02backed Fire Flux Esports39c37.18$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.684148.8%20 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fire Flux Esports60c36.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.472,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb84…59d2backed Fire Flux Esports71c36.15$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.464077.5%31 W · 9 L+5.9wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+21.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe7dd…bcd0backed Omega58c33.42$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d45…1c86backed Omega62c33.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.64151.2%21 W · 20 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca5f…41f5backed Omega61c32.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.5910452.9%55 W · 49 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Omega69c25.32$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.381,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Omega44c24$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.625,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3546…1a58backed Omega49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023526.4%62 W · 173 L-15.2wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x70a0…2dc3backed Omega49c20.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017626.1%46 W · 130 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca08…08bdbacked Omega61c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.241250.2%207 W · 205 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cf5…1095backed Omega64c16.59$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.628356.6%47 W · 36 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x114e…dcefbacked Omega64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104151.2%21 W · 20 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.