CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1eb59a12947e5685cd04eeca950ef82ac28892a7eabca90152bf9ec60c8af2c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fire Flux Esportsof Omega, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,497
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,178
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,497 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa103…1c14backed Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 4,171$1,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,753.03 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Fire Flux Esports | 56c | 2,276$1,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.49 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Omega | 61c | 1,958$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.49 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Omega | 13c | 1,664$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.38 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 63c | 1,636$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.08 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Omega | 66c | 1,565$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.71 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Omega | 66c | 1,512$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.4 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270e…53cabacked Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 1,502$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.76 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Omega | 50c | 1,386$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.87 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…783dbacked Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 1,346$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Omega | 54c | 960.3$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.95 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Omega | 22c | 847.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.41 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…bd17backed Fire Flux Esports | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Omega | 53c | 499.03$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.59 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Omega | 56c | 434.63$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.31 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f4…106cbacked Omega | 70c | 423.51$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.46 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Omega | 22c | 400$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.52 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Omega | 63c | 350.64$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.2 | 331 | 46.5%154 W · 177 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Omega | 37c | 324.57$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.07 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Omega | 29c | 322$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.26 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Fire Flux Esports | 58c | 321$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.82 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 38c | 310.59$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.1 | 194 | 43.3%84 W · 110 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc916…6371backed Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 308$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.14 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71d6…7248backed Omega | 7c | 279.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.55 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Omega | 73c | 264.59$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Omega | 65c | 247.69$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.88 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fire Flux Esports | 50c | 230.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.05 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Omega | 65c | 226.83$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.55 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 36c | 206.22$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.98 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf957…bcb6backed Omega | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 74c | 181.12$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Omega | 71c | 180$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.2 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Omega | 37c | 176.72$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Omega | 63c | 158.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19ae…395cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Omega | 63c | 152.79$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.76 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Omega | 54c | 136.11$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x19f0…0c9fbacked Omega | 67c | 127.58$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Omega | 40c | 127.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed Omega | 68c | 125.29$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…dc10backed Omega | 65c | 123.72$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Omega | 73c | 122.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.77 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 121$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.39 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | -13.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Omega | 40c | 120$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Omega | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc6…4593backed Omega | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Omega | 66c | 99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.34 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd2…7f61backed Omega | 43c | 90.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed Fire Flux Esports | 80c | 86$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66e7…8bcdbacked Fire Flux Esports | 80c | 82$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Omega | 42c | 69.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked Omega | 66c | 63.68$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Omega | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Omega | 39c | 62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.14 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e9…b2e0backed Omega | 72c | 61.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed Fire Flux Esports | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Fire Flux Esports | 80c | 58.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked Omega | 27c | 55.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e4…186ebacked Omega | 38c | 54.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 333 | 62.2%207 W · 126 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Omega | 22c | 53.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked Omega | 66c | 50.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fire Flux Esports | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x277b…31fabacked Omega | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.48 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…17bcbacked Omega | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Omega | 75c | 46.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.71 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Omega | 39c | 46.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc73a…ba42backed Omega | 64c | 45.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 124 | 55.6%69 W · 55 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Omega | 59c | 43.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Omega | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 52c | 40.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Omega | 64c | 39.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.55 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…9a02backed Fire Flux Esports | 39c | 37.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Fire Flux Esports | 60c | 36.45$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb84…59d2backed Fire Flux Esports | 71c | 36.15$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 40 | 77.5%31 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…bcd0backed Omega | 58c | 33.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Omega | 62c | 33.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed Omega | 61c | 32.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Omega | 69c | 25.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Omega | 44c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Omega | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed Omega | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 176 | 26.1%46 W · 130 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca08…08bdbacked Omega | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 412 | 50.2%207 W · 205 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Omega | 64c | 16.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x114e…dcefbacked Omega | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 Group AFire Flux Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Omega vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerFire Flux Esports won
- Map Handicap: OMG (-1.5) vs Fire Flux Esports (+1.5)Fire Flux Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.