WNBA · resolved market
Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0c73294e89be7e50ad50037fe48e79f0684210e2261990099c4b4bd107708a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,068
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 46c | 3,396$1,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850.25 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3a…a56bbacked Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 44c | 2,429$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.19 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 56c | 2,396$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,341.83 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 2,002$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 55c | 1,144$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.27 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 49c | 540.82$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.82 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked Under | 55c | 479$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.45 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 49c | 365$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…504cbacked Under | 61c | 322.08$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…6e53backed Under | 52c | 308.02$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.17 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 38 | 76.3%29 W · 9 L | +7.2wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 253.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.77 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 55c | 245$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed Under | 52c | 192.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 50c | 172$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 52c | 161.45$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 612 | 42.3%259 W · 353 L | -31.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Over | 49c | 147.25$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Under | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Under | 49c | 111.54$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.65 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Over | 50c | 110$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 48c | 109.42$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.36 | 149 | 47.7%71 W · 78 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Under | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -7.5wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbd…d0dfbacked Under | 56c | 97.58$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 46 | 63%29 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over | 39c | 94.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Under | 56c | 89$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 56c | 79.79$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 78.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 51c | 64.88$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.79 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…764bbacked Over | 51c | 59.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 53c | 53.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Under | 51c | 53.08$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.07 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Under | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 55c | 49$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +30%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Under | 56c | 38.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 74 | 70.3%52 W · 22 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +23%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 50c | 34.71$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Under | 50c | 34.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ae…5310backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Under | 55c | 23.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Under | 50c | 23.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)New York Liberty won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.