WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xac42bd88e31e5d450f95705095436d62c3b5349c483e7d9b452e317ea458f806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Minnesota Lynx, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,118
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $169,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,118 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 49c | 63,960$31,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,619.67 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 55,010$27,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,943.4 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd86e…45cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 31,942$16,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,286.42 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 11,408$4,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,622.93 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 11,249$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,671.44 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5b…3f6abacked Minnesota Lynx | 45c | 7,316$3,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,291.22 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty | 50c | 7,169$3,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,584.58 | 472 | 46.8%221 W · 251 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Minnesota Lynx | 44c | 6,507$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.86 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed New York Liberty | 50c | 5,233$2,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,616.74 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Minnesota Lynx | 38c | 4,914$1,843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.98 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 4,561$2,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,234.63 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 4,534$2,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 49c | 4,411$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,235.35 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 3,940$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.46 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Minnesota Lynx | 36c | 3,712$1,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 3,080$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.33 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 2,044$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.15 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked New York Liberty | 50c | 2,030$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.23 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed New York Liberty | 50c | 2,015$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.5 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed New York Liberty | 52c | 1,600$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed New York Liberty | 49c | 1,450$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.5 | 128 | 50.8%65 W · 63 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed New York Liberty | 50c | 1,365$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.02 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…c00abacked New York Liberty | 53c | 1,331$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 49c | 1,304$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.96 | 420 | 46.7%196 W · 224 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked New York Liberty | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 515.23$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.35 | 144 | 54.2%78 W · 66 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Minnesota Lynx | 37c | 499.98$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 482.01$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.89 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed New York Liberty | 51c | 480.67$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Minnesota Lynx | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Minnesota Lynx | 52c | 367.29$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 161 | 53.4%86 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 311.48$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.51 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71bc…7fe4backed New York Liberty | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8849…9a83backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…a35cbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 81 | 38.3%31 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed New York Liberty | 52c | 187.2$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +7.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Minnesota Lynx | 48c | 151.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.59 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed New York Liberty | 65c | 101.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 173 | 50.3%87 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 48c | 83.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Minnesota Lynx | 37c | 74.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed New York Liberty | 49c | 67.14$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.96 | 159 | 38.4%61 W · 98 L | -16.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed New York Liberty | 50c | 66.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.21 | 260 | 54.6%142 W · 118 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Minnesota Lynx | 51c | 65.74$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 61.54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 211 | 50.2%106 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Minnesota Lynx | 41c | 56.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed New York Liberty | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…c6c0backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7497…18cebacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 39.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 391 | 50.4%197 W · 194 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Minnesota Lynx | 46c | 31.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e62…79f1backed Minnesota Lynx | 37c | 27.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Minnesota Lynx | 47c | 21.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 147 | 51%75 W · 72 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d3…5639backed New York Liberty | 50c | 21.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked New York Liberty | 51c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.