WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19a001002799a03b01682e43f92acea02ec822449bb57ee272f6bc46cf525624
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Libertyof Minnesota Lynx, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,234
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Minnesota Lynx | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 454 | 15.6%71 W · 383 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Minnesota Lynx | 37c | 785.39$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.3 | 1,632 | 50.2%819 W · 813 L | +37.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Minnesota Lynx | 50c | 700$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 48c | 636.52$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.99 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 46c | 584.27$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.98 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 502.73$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.47 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked New York Liberty | 46c | 414$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.56 | 327 | 49.5%162 W · 165 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed New York Liberty | 46c | 315.5$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Minnesota Lynx | 6c | 285$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed New York Liberty | 47c | 251.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +128.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Minnesota Lynx | 10c | 209$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Minnesota Lynx | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Minnesota Lynx | 36c | 145.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x533c…eb85backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 130.7$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 53cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2e…0433backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 120.55$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Minnesota Lynx | 39c | 77.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 65.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 53.02$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.1 | 427 | 49.4%211 W · 216 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed New York Liberty | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed New York Liberty | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Minnesota Lynx | 53c | 24.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.24 | 390 | 45.9%179 W · 211 L | -15.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd107…add5backed New York Liberty | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-1.5)this page
- Minnesota Lynx vs. New York LibertyNew York Liberty won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5Over won
- Minnesota Lynx vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Over won
- Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-2.5)New York Liberty won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.