Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7c25fdd06e9898409044a2e9955d0b2c38c55797f02e06fdcc451b2ab091fdd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tiafoeof Fils, Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,827
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,827 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Fils | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,299.97 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Tiafoe | 59c | 16,867$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,866.55 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Tiafoe | 59c | 10,219$6,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,211.89 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Fils | 40c | 6,725$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.13 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Tiafoe | 55c | 5,140$2,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.78 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb03…1a23backed Fils | 45c | 3,456$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.65 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…842abacked Fils | 45c | 3,299$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Tiafoe | 58c | 2,625$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110.18 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…8087backed Fils | 46c | 2,616$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.5 | 63 | 28.6%18 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…c2ffbacked Tiafoe | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8db…ccfbbacked Fils | 69c | 2,394$1,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,651.77 | 187 | 56.1%105 W · 82 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Tiafoe | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Tiafoe | 59c | 1,839$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.99 | 1,031 | 50.3%519 W · 512 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Tiafoe | 56c | 1,728$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.78 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Tiafoe | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Fils | 43c | 1,384$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Tiafoe | 48c | 1,125$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.85 | 545 | 41.7%227 W · 318 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Tiafoe | 59c | 1,034$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.9 | 277 | 62.8%174 W · 103 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Tiafoe | 57c | 904.36$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.08 | 992 | 49.4%490 W · 502 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc144…c809backed Fils | 43c | 790.7$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 115 | 29.6%34 W · 81 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Fils | 41c | 599.97$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Tiafoe | 59c | 551.7$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Tiafoe | 60c | 545.75$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21fc…de4abacked Tiafoe | 59c | 540.02$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.41 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…53ffbacked Fils | 66c | 513.68$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.03 | 155 | 41.9%65 W · 90 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Tiafoe | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Fils | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 271 | 51.3%139 W · 132 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Tiafoe | 58c | 456.85$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.88 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -9.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tiafoe | 31c | 448.39$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.39 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Fils | 42c | 415$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.3 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Tiafoe | 51c | 399.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Fils | 6c | 399$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 51 | 17.6%9 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1680…490dbacked Fils | 49c | 395.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.92 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…46c6backed Tiafoe | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x240a…814cbacked Fils | 44c | 329.26$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd00c…514dbacked Tiafoe | 59c | 304.64$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805f…54a4backed Fils | 71c | 300$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.21 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Fils | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50cc…a534backed Fils | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e58…fb5abacked Tiafoe | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6add…6992backed Fils | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…504cbacked Fils | 43c | 205.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.86 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…61a3backed Tiafoe | 59c | 190$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Tiafoe | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tiafoe | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6888…4c79backed Fils | 43c | 151$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 264 | 57.6%152 W · 112 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5926…e20abacked Fils | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tiafoe | 49c | 119$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6dd…238bbacked Fils | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79b5…df9bbacked Fils | 42c | 108.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 207 | 40.1%83 W · 124 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…64b1backed Fils | 43c | 106.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…efaabacked Tiafoe | 59c | 105$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc81…a635backed Fils | 49c | 102.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Tiafoe | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Tiafoe | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Tiafoe | 51c | 98$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Tiafoe | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.77 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Fils | 41c | 91.5$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 270 | 47.8%129 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…8869backed Tiafoe | 43c | 91.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 117 | 35%41 W · 76 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…cd4fbacked Tiafoe | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Fils | 13c | 84.06$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…2c8abacked Tiafoe | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Tiafoe | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 265 | 46.4%123 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Tiafoe | 59c | 80.34$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Fils | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbc…ddb8backed Tiafoe | 60c | 79.77$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +40%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Tiafoe | 31c | 74.52$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.42 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Tiafoe | 59c | 74$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 812 | 55.3%449 W · 363 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…0f04backed Fils | 43c | 74$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 56cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Tiafoe | 52c | 72.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fab…9a70backed Tiafoe | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +5.9wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Fils | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…ad8dbacked Fils | 44c | 56.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1536…7f40backed Tiafoe | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed Tiafoe | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 109 | 37.6%41 W · 68 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Fils | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 584 | 53.1%310 W · 274 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd233…14f3backed Tiafoe | 59c | 44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Tiafoe | 58c | 41.39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 553 | 47.6%263 W · 290 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce2…a9d0backed Tiafoe | 52c | 39.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7db2…9fecbacked Fils | 42c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fils | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde5e…9a9bbacked Tiafoe | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…ffd3backed Tiafoe | 59c | 19.64$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8eb…e4a5backed Tiafoe | 57c | 17.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)this page
- Arthur Fils vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoeArthur Fils won
- Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Game Spread: Fils (-2.5) vs Tiafoe (+2.5)Fils won
- Set 1 Winner: Fils vs TiafoeFils won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.