Tennis · resolved market
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe37a52cdfeecd4918e2f9bad263abcd5c9f702007b45d671f46d9eaad37988e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,321
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Over | 53c | 2,770$1,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,462 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 50c | 2,700$1,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,343.16 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Under | 47c | 2,224$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.72 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Over | 52c | 1,363$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.95 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Under | 48c | 599.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.99 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a50…c1e5backed Over | 50c | 420$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.05 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 49c | 338.99$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.53 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d9…84afbacked Under | 50c | 288$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.93 | 306 | 48.4%148 W · 158 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4b…c865backed Over | 52c | 230.77$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1f…7661backed Over | 52c | 118.42$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 233 | 52.8%123 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…e3eebacked Over | 52c | 112.5$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.87 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…f218backed Over | 52c | 97.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 357 | 53.8%192 W · 165 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Over | 52c | 84.13$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 34 | 70.6%24 W · 10 L | +7.2wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked Under | 49c | 49.05$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 66.7%68 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 47c | 36.97$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Under | 48c | 33.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Over | 52c | 31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 57c | 25.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…b91ebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +66.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5this page
- Arthur Fils vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances TiafoeArthur Fils won
- Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Game Spread: Fils (-2.5) vs Tiafoe (+2.5)Fils won
- Set 1 Winner: Fils vs TiafoeFils won
- Set Handicap: Fils (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)Tiafoe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.