TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x335a…e3ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 54 out of 100; worst Valorant at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: James Duckworth vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.32
US Open, Qualification WTA: Kayla Day vs Julieta Parejabacked Kayla Day · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.77
Cincinnati Open: Coco Gauff vs Jessica Pegulabacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.29
Coco Gauff vs. Jessica Pegula: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.94
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.44
Fils vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.87
Cincinnati Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Frances Tiafoebacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.88
Jessica Pegula vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$119.22
Cincinnati Open: Jessica Pegula vs Iga Swiatekbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$172.97
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitnerbacked Neil Oberleitner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.68
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Valentina Steiner vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steurbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.97
ITF W75 Kursumlijska Banja 3 Women: Rada Zolotareva vs Lisa Zaarbacked Lisa Zaar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.37
Cincinnati Open: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$92.72
Cincinnati Open: Sara Bejlek vs Madison Keysbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.76
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+107.4%+$20.41
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.25
Anisimova vs. Pegula: Match O/U 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$26.49
Sion: Benjamin Hassan vs Geoffrey Blancaneauxbacked Geoffrey Blancaneaux · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
ITF M15 Maanshan 7 Men: Ku Keon Kang vs Ammar Alhogbanibacked Ku Keon Kang · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$38.63
Cancun: Gauthier Onclin vs Timofey Skatovbacked Gauthier Onclin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+410.5%+$58.62
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$44.48
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$47.17
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBAlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.4
Atlanta Dream vs. Los Angeles Sparks: O/U 181.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Playoffsbacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFLlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jets vs. Steelersbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$83.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.