MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819ec89cfe91f4665af0625611f5038ee23fa4f1292e93dae9fd1062b81529ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,322
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,322 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 66c | 2,808$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.54 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 48c | 2,087$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.42 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77aa…9bd5backed Under | 49c | 2,013$995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 1,566$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.3 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,067$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.74 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 53c | 833.68$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.68 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 52c | 512.83$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.24 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 76c | 500$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.35 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96d9…18a0backed Over | 49c | 499.98$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 224 | 48.7%109 W · 115 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 43c | 490$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.7 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05b2…953bbacked Under | 45c | 451.2$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.16 | 109 | 41.3%45 W · 64 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 61c | 379.41$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 57c | 328.07$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.58 | 473 | 45.7%216 W · 257 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1d…a01abacked Over | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 57c | 260.78$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 58c | 250$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.4 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 58c | 230.29$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.12 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 52c | 217.13$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 43c | 205.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.18 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 44c | 183$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.48 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 44c | 180$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.8 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…45ddbacked Under | 44c | 170.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.45 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…245ebacked Under | 65c | 150.53$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.62 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 56c | 121.25$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.9 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9a…dbe1backed Under | 48c | 109.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.02 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…e3eebacked Under | 57c | 103.44$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 44c | 103.3$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 44c | 102.27$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 92 | 59.8%55 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Over | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235d…450bbacked Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 56c | 98.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 58c | 88.19$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 39c | 76.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.7 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 43c | 72.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 56c | 70.14$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Under | 46c | 69.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed Under | 58c | 66.75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Under | 47c | 62.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 35c | 61.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.08 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 50c | 54.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.45 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 56c | 50.89$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 49c | 42.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 36c | 40.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Under | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 50c | 34.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Over | 41c | 28.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Over | 56c | 28.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 115 | 50.4%58 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 43c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Under | 64c | 25.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Over | 57c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd774…82cdbacked Under | 43c | 23.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 52c | 23.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.