MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xab556f3675d51a066b71e9ca000a5fa2238882fdfcd369ff70bfe7bacc4eea7e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 52c | 16,600$8,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,968.04 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 13,086$6,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,280.81 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c8…8f5abacked Under | 52c | 2,265$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,087.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 48c | 2,002$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.96 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 4c | 1,537$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 48c | 1,364$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.79 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 64c | 1,326$854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.16 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 30c | 1,293$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 51c | 1,189$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.63 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 34c | 1,069$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71bf…f6edbacked Over | 48c | 902.06$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 47c | 754.5$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.62 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 49c | 750$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.5 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 600$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 479.44$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.34 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1262…056fbacked Over | 48c | 392$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.16 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 48c | 385.42$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 31c | 377.46$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.48 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Over | 48c | 316.98$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 48c | 305$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.88 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 52c | 302.05$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.99 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189c…c9aebacked Under | 69c | 300$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fd…442fbacked Under | 61c | 295.37$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 47c | 285.14$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.98 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 48c | 242.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.26 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Over | 49c | 237$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.13 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Under | 52c | 212.27$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.89 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -8.6wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -52%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Over | 35c | 188.07$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.68 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 69c | 170.53$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.72 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 47c | 149.57$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.3 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Under | 52c | 128$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.44 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 51c | 107.86$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed Under | 67c | 104.47$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Over | 46c | 84.86$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Over | 42c | 84.62$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 47c | 72.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 59c | 72.32$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.73 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd4…de15backed Under | 68c | 64.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 171 | 60.8%104 W · 67 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 31c | 55.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 53c | 55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b27…09b1backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Over | 48c | 51.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over | 25c | 50.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Under | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 63c | 47.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.75 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 48c | 43.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Under | 71c | 43$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 29c | 43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 474 | 46.6%221 W · 253 L | +26.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 53c | 41.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 60c | 41.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 66c | 40.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4a…3026backed Under | 56c | 36.84$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.21 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d12ebacked Under | 61c | 32.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.61 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +5.3wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Over | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Under | 62c | 30.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c78…7d67backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Over | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 48c | 26.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Under | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 54c | 21.93$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 77c | 16.34$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.