TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Colorado Rockies, Los Angeles Dodgers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,094
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,094 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xab1c…aaddbacked Colorado Rockies23c4,300$989 inLost-$988.94616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers76c2,806$2,131 inWon+$674.6111,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Colorado Rockies22c2,600$561 inLost-$560.9312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Colorado Rockies24c1,856$445 inLost-$445.354,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers78c941$734 inWon+$207.025750.9%29 W · 28 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Dodgers77c798$614 inWon+$183.541,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers76c644.74$493 inWon+$151.748,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Colorado Rockies14c343$48 inLost-$48.028,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers80c334.57$266 inWon+$68.1358352.1%304 W · 279 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers77c305.99$236 inWon+$70.386,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Los Angeles Dodgers77c300$231 inWon+$691,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Los Angeles Dodgers77c265$204 inWon+$60.951,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d9…84afbacked Los Angeles Dodgers77c206$159 inWon+$47.389446.8%44 W · 50 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Colorado Rockies22c138$30 inLost-$30.3654642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0f…b7aebacked Colorado Rockies23c107$25 inLost-$24.6152638.4%202 W · 324 L+1.5wins0.00per pick38cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Los Angeles Dodgers76c100$76 inWon+$2454146.8%253 W · 288 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers76c94$71 inWon+$22.5627448.2%132 W · 142 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5a…9d75backed Colorado Rockies25c80$20 inLost-$2010515.2%16 W · 89 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe84f…b777backed Colorado Rockies25c54.56$14 inLost-$13.6442451.9%220 W · 204 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Colorado Rockies24c44.59$11 inLost-$10.7673355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Los Angeles Dodgers76c29.98$23 inWon+$7.194057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.