MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c1c9fcc9a329a4628cdad92e2be2c43db7040b8f8c5e63be8307dc87f9b7aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 58c | 1,439$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 23c | 1,379$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.28 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 58c | 859.8$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.12 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb88a…f6adbacked Over | 42c | 813$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.46 | 287 | 53.3%153 W · 134 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 72c | 714.2$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.97 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Over | 42c | 700$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5633…59bcbacked Over | 42c | 542$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.64 | 279 | 52%145 W · 134 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 63c | 494.35$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.12 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f8c…f8bdbacked Over | 36c | 416.67$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 17c | 376.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.57 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Under | 78c | 293.71$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 78c | 288.29$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.42 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa61…7f3bbacked Over | 42c | 283.33$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 37c | 267.92$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Under | 76c | 233.92$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…4883backed Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 29c | 126.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.41 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 69c | 55.57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.11 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dce…b2acbacked Under | 73c | 54.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Under | 63c | 48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.76 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 68c | 36.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Under | 78c | 30.46$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07b4…6855backed Under | 65c | 30.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0274…c658backed Under | 65c | 29.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Under | 58c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Under | 80c | 14.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.96 | 319 | 57.4%183 W · 136 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.