MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe069e05766ca84795ebe68a0ea7b36befbedab400f50c318e3eb52d64f26c6e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Colorado Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,294
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,086
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,294 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 3,778$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 3,700$2,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,665 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 3,645$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,640.25 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 1,654$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.17 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 1,451$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.87 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.95 | 866 | 53%459 W · 407 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 1,110$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.5 | 287 | 51.9%149 W · 138 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Colorado Rockies | 49c | 1,071$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.84 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 48c | 838.53$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.53 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colorado Rockies | 29c | 805$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.75 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Colorado Rockies | 66c | 723.12$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.77 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 722.2$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.99 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 60c | 607.29$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.62 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 460.32$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.53 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 426.85$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 340.36$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.42 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 326$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 5,126 | 54.7%2,804 W · 2,322 L | +231.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 303.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.52 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 53c | 287.41$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.44 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 285.09$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…2833backed Colorado Rockies | 70c | 275.18$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 268.4$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.93 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9905…add3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 267.34$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 251.98$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.39 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…bf20backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x003f…3805backed Colorado Rockies | 36c | 172.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.42 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 170$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Colorado Rockies | 11c | 162.75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb361…7348backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 109 | 53.2%58 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…3927backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8a…24c2backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 107.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.52 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 232 | 55.2%128 W · 104 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Colorado Rockies | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 96.6$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.44 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Colorado Rockies | 65c | 95.52$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 94.85$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb8…7017backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 93.6$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Colorado Rockies | 46c | 91.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.25 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…2ff8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.95 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 88.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.97 | 1,911 | 53.1%1,014 W · 897 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8b…27efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 84.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Colorado Rockies | 16c | 76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.87 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 74.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1,725 | 50.1%864 W · 861 L | -4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88e1…3560backed Colorado Rockies | 49c | 74.16$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.34 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 62.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 56.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.47 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…226cbacked Colorado Rockies | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 54c | 54.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 341 | 49.3%168 W · 173 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 64c | 52.42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Colorado Rockies | 25c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 45.12$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 33c | 44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 37c | 44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 268 | 57.1%153 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641d…eeedbacked Colorado Rockies | 45c | 43.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.56 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 34c | 36.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 176 | 47.2%83 W · 93 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb3…4a24backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 30.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Colorado Rockies | 48c | 29.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Colorado Rockies | 45c | 28.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a98…639dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 309 | 60.2%186 W · 123 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…2deebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 61c | 23.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 179 | 52%93 W · 86 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 22.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesLos Angeles Dodgers won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5Under won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5Over won
- Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Colorado Rockies (-2.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado RockiesNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.