TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfb32…0035

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
89
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Tennis at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5540%22 W · 33 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+454.9%+$331.4
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$185.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$23
Will Christian Pulisic score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.82
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will 2+ matches be suspended by weather protocol during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$142
Will Ismael Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will France be the highest-scoring team in Group I during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.08
Will Japan finish second in Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Will Tahith Chong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Morocco go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+90.9%+$38.57
Will Morocco finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Brazil finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.95
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Haiti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$34.47
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+71.2%+$27.75
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$9.89
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Athletics vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$10.87
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$5.32
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$598Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+320.7%+$1,916.21
Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$178.73
Will Dominican Republic win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$157.2
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Winston-Salem Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Francisco Comesanabacked Daniel Altmaier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+50.7%+$15.22
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elena Pridankina vs Aliona Faleibacked Aliona Falei · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Augsburg: Andrej Nedic vs Juan Estevezbacked Andrej Nedic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.37
Monterrey Open: Mayar Sherif vs Oleksandra Oliynykovabacked Oleksandra Oliynykova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+27.8%+$9.74
Cincinnati Open: Tommy Paul vs Flavio Cobollibacked Tommy Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Quebec City: Alexei Popyrin vs Hugo Gastonbacked Alexei Popyrin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cincinnati Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Jessica Pegulabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Sion: Lorenzo Giustino vs Dimitar Kuzmanovbacked Lorenzo Giustino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Sion: Tommaso Compagnucci vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Tommaso Compagnucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid+21.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+162.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$6.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$5.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.