TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Quebec City: Alexei Popyrin vs Hugo Gaston

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hugo Gastonof Alexei Popyrin, Hugo Gaston
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$118,185
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$118,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,185 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Alexei Popyrin12c52,038$6,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,478.2411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Hugo Gaston76c40,778$31,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,671.074,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Alexei Popyrin67c10,000$6,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,70066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alexei Popyrin31c9,023$2,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,781.588,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8713…196bbacked Hugo Gaston33c6,061$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,060.821931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Alexei Popyrin10c4,031$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.681,43524.3%348 W · 1,087 L-36.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-22.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alexei Popyrin24c3,702$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$873.428,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Hugo Gaston33c2,957$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.1961152.2%319 W · 292 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4419…fcf4backed Hugo Gaston80c2,032$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.3518261.5%112 W · 70 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc186…e96ebacked Alexei Popyrin28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007459.5%44 W · 30 L+6.0wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5513…de2abacked Alexei Popyrin9c1,732$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.5878838.2%301 W · 487 L-15.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-26.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Hugo Gaston33c1,715$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,148.721,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2bb…3250backed Alexei Popyrin31c1,613$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024452.5%128 W · 116 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Alexei Popyrin64c1,578$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.6331253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Alexei Popyrin22c1,475$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.411,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Hugo Gaston37c1,425$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$897.751,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Alexei Popyrin63c1,373$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.383,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Hugo Gaston33c1,300$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$871.851,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Alexei Popyrin9c1,159$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.471,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d32…9dfcbacked Alexei Popyrin67c1,103$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.26333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf068…849cbacked Alexei Popyrin20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006457.8%37 W · 27 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed Alexei Popyrin31c650$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.536946.9%173 W · 196 L+1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Alexei Popyrin38c637.75$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.351,62449.8%809 W · 815 L-9.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alexei Popyrin66c622$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.694,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd812…203fbacked Alexei Popyrin51c607.62$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.2210537.1%39 W · 66 L-11.3wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-32.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb624…3d80backed Hugo Gaston35c542.29$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.2914439.6%57 W · 87 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfb2…126abacked Hugo Gaston75c542$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.523738.8%92 W · 145 L+0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb421…8856backed Alexei Popyrin31c448.39$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1391,77648.6%863 W · 913 L+29.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Alexei Popyrin68c428.91$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.684,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Alexei Popyrin27c379.98$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.161,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Alexei Popyrin67c373.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Alexei Popyrin6c328.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.715946.5%74 W · 85 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Alexei Popyrin28c282.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1719041.6%79 W · 111 L-16.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Alexei Popyrin8c271$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7562140.7%253 W · 368 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…52a2backed Alexei Popyrin4c255$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.214945%67 W · 82 L-0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Hugo Gaston67c224.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.3391754%495 W · 422 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Alexei Popyrin33c218.21$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.711,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9eeb…a72cbacked Hugo Gaston70c211.78$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.621147.9%101 W · 110 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Alexei Popyrin5c209.14$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4742748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alexei Popyrin50c198.36$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.495,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x571f…1d37backed Alexei Popyrin54c196.75$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.171,06554.7%583 W · 482 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Alexei Popyrin37c195.59$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.6554141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Hugo Gaston44c190.72$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.914,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x08c8…016abacked Alexei Popyrin66c184$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.6637058.4%216 W · 154 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x301f…e84cbacked Alexei Popyrin67c179.1$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12030268.9%208 W · 94 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…ef3dbacked Alexei Popyrin58c175.01$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.6929552.2%154 W · 141 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da8…be26backed Hugo Gaston33c171$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.5769545.8%318 W · 377 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb2…1bfcbacked Hugo Gaston74c170.34$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.2928055.4%155 W · 125 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Hugo Gaston54c164.02$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.094,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Alexei Popyrin12c163$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.14,60248.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L+34.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Alexei Popyrin31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Alexei Popyrin34c156.01$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.271,71053.7%918 W · 792 L+30.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d6d…f2b4backed Alexei Popyrin66c150.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047058.5%275 W · 195 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3a3…3f10backed Alexei Popyrin67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004450%22 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Hugo Gaston54c144.48$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.5130339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alexei Popyrin14c144.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.666,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2516…51edbacked Hugo Gaston34c140.97$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.0415374.5%114 W · 39 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Hugo Gaston47c140.6$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.983,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Alexei Popyrin56c124.14$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.522,85439.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L-83.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alexei Popyrin32c116.94$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.256,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Alexei Popyrin67c104.48$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7028255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Hugo Gaston33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6793945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Hugo Gaston34c99.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.991,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Alexei Popyrin13c93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.665,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Hugo Gaston33c80.21$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.742,46238.5%948 W · 1,514 L+93.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4692…0feebacked Hugo Gaston34c79.56$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5115951.6%82 W · 77 L-0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Alexei Popyrin67c74.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb32…0035backed Alexei Popyrin27c74.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69d2…a218backed Hugo Gaston34c73.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.522937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-30.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Hugo Gaston70c69.61$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.051,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Hugo Gaston33c61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.877,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f17…0724backed Hugo Gaston57c61$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2370254.4%382 W · 320 L+40.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8102…c618backed Hugo Gaston55c58.27$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2712860.2%77 W · 51 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6f8…df87backed Alexei Popyrin56c50$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2814450.7%73 W · 71 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed Hugo Gaston45c49.22$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2227943.4%121 W · 158 L-0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Hugo Gaston43c49$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.0530132.9%99 W · 202 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x927e…cd69backed Alexei Popyrin44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206861.8%42 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Hugo Gaston52c42.44$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3588358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Alexei Popyrin67c39.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.797,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed Hugo Gaston34c37.66$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8655347.6%263 W · 290 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Hugo Gaston46c37.15$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.216,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3144…9502backed Alexei Popyrin68c33.41$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.722857.1%16 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4b5…1bd4backed Alexei Popyrin66c30.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016445.1%74 W · 90 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf40e…9addbacked Alexei Popyrin66c30.08$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038664%247 W · 139 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Hugo Gaston34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.82,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cf2…ac54backed Alexei Popyrin66c29.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7919347.2%91 W · 102 L-0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6dc…58d5backed Alexei Popyrin68c23.53$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick62cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Alexei Popyrin56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Alexei Popyrin67c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.392,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.