Middle East · resolved market

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x976dc747774438c03e437d8f357433097eae1b932672983ba6f2a9aea79fe560

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 18, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $110,039

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,797 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 195 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Middle East
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfc2f…10c7backed Yes	46c	9,252$4,293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,958.9	356	31.7%113 W · 243 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbacd…ab35backed Yes	55c	7,293$3,979 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,314.47	489	23.5%115 W · 374 L	-14.3wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c64…ac0bbacked No	11c	5,000$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+182.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	52c	4,573$2,387 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,386.68	643	39.3%253 W · 390 L	-59.4wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	28c	4,322$1,203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,203.25	217	26.7%58 W · 159 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No	2c	4,000$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78	274	2.9%8 W · 266 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	-58.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked No	23c	3,115$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.2	359	21.4%77 W · 282 L	-23.8wins	-0.07per pick	28cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb524…9eb7backed No	21c	2,983$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.24	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e73…6697backed No	41c	2,369$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.31	196	39.8%78 W · 118 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf17…97d1backed No	57c	2,320$1,328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,328.08	113	34.5%39 W · 74 L	-7.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed Yes	39c	2,309$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,401.07	29	58.6%17 W · 12 L	+5.3wins	+0.18per pick	40cpaid	+20.9%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3c59…1766backed Yes	43c	2,211$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,251.89	82	47.6%39 W · 43 L	+8.2wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c66…44f3backed Yes	51c	2,125$1,087 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,038.6	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fce…a7c8backed No	0c	2,125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.18per pick	10cpaid	+238%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x215a…254cbacked No	31c	2,041$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.76	366	34.4%126 W · 240 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x645a…fd84backed No	59c	1,452$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$862	247	59.1%146 W · 101 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed No	65c	1,290$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$835.21	287	34.5%99 W · 188 L	+21.3wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2598…40a3backed Yes	30c	1,206$360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$846.61	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc972…dcd9backed No	6c	1,200$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.26	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9416…5a15backed Yes	74c	1,111$825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.19	65	38.5%25 W · 40 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe95…4074backed No	50c	1,004$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.22per pick	39cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3437…f8f3backed No	62c	935$582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$581.89	159	53.5%85 W · 74 L	+16.6wins	+0.10per pick	43cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa9ac…c5d1backed No	41c	807.64$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331	423	29.1%123 W · 300 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-12%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ee9…197fbacked No	33c	793.32$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.34	296	53.7%159 W · 137 L	+20.2wins	+0.07per pick	47cpaid	+104.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No	28c	790.27$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.84	272	33.8%92 W · 180 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86a6…1ac6backed No	45c	706$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.8	120	46.7%56 W · 64 L	+11.5wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+52.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked No	44c	616$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.63	181	35.9%65 W · 116 L	-6.6wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x233b…1f2cbacked Yes	72c	558.25$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.51	102	40.2%41 W · 61 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4158…ce9fbacked No	43c	526.6$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.66	473	34%161 W · 312 L	+8.2wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	+13.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b65…293ebacked No	32c	500$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	31	64.5%20 W · 11 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6fa…aeecbacked No	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a8e…05a4backed No	6c	499.88$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.88	32	12.5%4 W · 28 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	20cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4fc…a926backed No	50c	498.06$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	38.3%18 W · 29 L	-5.6wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed No	40c	494.23$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.34	64	9.4%6 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-68.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x24da…0b29backed No	55c	471$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$258.34	30	70%21 W · 9 L	+4.6wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+30.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0482…6b0abacked No	34c	452$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$152.53	215	25.1%54 W · 161 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x817f…bf28backed No	54c	424.19$227 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$227.37	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3003…efa3backed No	64c	410.61$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$263.81	70	38.6%27 W · 43 L	-10.3wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-31%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4a2b…af20backed No	55c	400$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	264	29.2%77 W · 187 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5db…3c45backed No	53c	400$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212	120	37.5%45 W · 75 L	+9.1wins	+0.08per pick	30cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9bae…5d34backed Yes	50c	388.82$195 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.25	115	59.1%68 W · 47 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x369c…eab1backed Yes	47c	375.35$177 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$198.57	61	29.5%18 W · 43 L	-8.3wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	-34%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x8674…0d1ebacked No	40c	337.81$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.94	126	38.1%48 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked No	52c	315.41$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.12	360	35.3%127 W · 233 L	-30.4wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07b9…0fbbbacked Yes	39c	300$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$181.78	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked No	7c	300$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	462	5%23 W · 439 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9aeb…2729backed No	52c	297.35$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.95	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+11.2wins	+0.12per pick	45cpaid	+44.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes	76c	292.27$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.02	135	44.4%60 W · 75 L	+8.1wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf2bb…ae21backed No	36c	289.86$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.6	26	61.5%16 W · 10 L	+3.3wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+72.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed No	27c	289.85$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.81	589	27.2%160 W · 429 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5042…f296backed Yes	38c	285$107 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$177.6	90	40%36 W · 54 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x92d0…269ebacked No	65c	268.44$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.36	409	39.6%162 W · 247 L	+10.2wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x738a…5996backed No	51c	263.23$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.72	94	54.3%51 W · 43 L	+12.6wins	+0.13per pick	41cpaid	+52.5%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0x9cb3…1367backed Yes	42c	262.65$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.85	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked No	23c	260$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	423	11.6%49 W · 374 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1da…3b79backed No	39c	258.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	62cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2940…304cbacked No	46c	256.79$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119	161	31.7%51 W · 110 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	+25.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f2…6c8ebacked No	61c	245.83$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.96	38	39.5%15 W · 23 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53a1…b1b0backed No	62c	241.94$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-1.4wins	-0.71per pick	71cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…102cbacked Yes	46c	224.45$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$121.2	342	34.8%119 W · 223 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed No	39c	216$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.78	124	32.3%40 W · 84 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdde4…7bfdbacked No	44c	206.31$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x58ce…57c4backed No	39c	200$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.5	69	34.8%24 W · 45 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73d2…f9b7backed No	58c	200$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116	119	44.5%53 W · 66 L	-17.8wins	-0.15per pick	59cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	36-0.12 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	419	5.3%22 W · 397 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x221c…d3c1backed No	55c	181.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.26per pick	60cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f3…85debacked No	56c	178.58$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	30%9 W · 21 L	-3.3wins	-0.11per pick	41cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No	72c	159.29$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.33	288	27.8%80 W · 208 L	-10.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd39…5f76backed Yes	37c	158.76$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$100.02	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-1.7wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x38f5…6824backed No	45c	157.91$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.06	154	34.4%53 W · 101 L	+4.8wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18dc…5e90backed Yes	57c	156.8$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$68.2	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	31cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Yes	65c	152.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.82	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+52.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed Yes	63c	145$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.3	110	40%44 W · 66 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60a8…7d37backed No	47c	134.31$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.49	118	54.2%64 W · 54 L	+9.7wins	+0.08per pick	46cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	37c	131.43$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.31	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-57.0wins	-0.14per pick	35cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0x08eb…9ca4backed Yes	69c	129.78$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.23	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+6.5wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2425…3dd1backed Yes	39c	128.21$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.21	121	39.7%48 W · 73 L	+13.8wins	+0.11per pick	28cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc7f0…672bbacked Yes	37c	127.94$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.6	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbf93…2fd7backed No	60c	127$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.2	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	+9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed No	51c	116$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.16	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+9.6wins	+0.23per pick	23cpaid	+79%equal weight	66+0.15 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No	53c	113$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.89	72	41.7%30 W · 42 L	-1.8wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	+24.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c57…f939backed No	67c	111.94$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	62	54.8%34 W · 28 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92e5…efeebacked Yes	70c	109.99$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33	118	43.2%51 W · 67 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1851…ae47backed Yes	24c	106.46$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80.91	247	12.1%30 W · 217 L	+6.4wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e29…a4a0backed No	54c	104.97$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.14	56	32.1%18 W · 38 L	-7.4wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc243…5e94backed Yes	61c	104.84$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.02	142	49.3%70 W · 72 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5968…3fc4backed No	52c	104.21$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.39	186	40.9%76 W · 110 L	-3.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-20%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes	36c	101.06$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.59	242	24.4%59 W · 183 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095b…8a05backed No	49c	100.99$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.83	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.9wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0443…2221backed Yes	50c	100$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.10per pick	47cpaid	-33.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28b8…5e00backed Yes	52c	96.38$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.38	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+4.1wins	+0.14per pick	23cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x5e58…4943backed No	45c	95.92$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.16	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.49per pick	49cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd75a…fdecbacked Yes	43c	95.77$42 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$54.21	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+51.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe738…df65backed No	21c	88$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.48	353	55.5%196 W · 157 L	+36.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6cdb…8a82backed No	44c	87.03$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5675…f6a6backed No	74c	84.53$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.57	28	57.1%16 W · 12 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x946e…1225backed Yes	43c	80.81$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.81	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	+5.1wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	63c	78.08$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.14	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea28…3a0bbacked No	61c	77.99$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.57	104	46.2%48 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a03…cf2dbacked No	33c	74$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.42	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?this page
Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Abdel Fattah el-Sisi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Benjamin Netanyahu sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes won
Will Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes won
Will King Abdullah II sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Marco Rubio sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Masoud Pezeshkian sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?Yes won
Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Mohammed bin Salman sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Mojtaba Khamenei sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won
Will Steve Witkoff sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event