TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,424,218
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,225,734

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,424,218 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 629 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd66e…051fbacked Yes6c783,334$47,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,000.0480%0 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Yes7c399,994$28,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,999.613844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Yes5c200,000$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00021343.2%92 W · 121 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes5c127,255$6,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,518.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4be1…aa70backed Yes20c125,843$25,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,329.51931.6%6 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3c7…c83bbacked Yes6c101,390$6,083 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,083.436448.4%31 W · 33 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe558…dcd2backed Yes8c80,023$6,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,401.8715843%68 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Yes13c79,902$10,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,088.9366846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes17c68,628$11,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,5101,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa804…2a75backed Yes5c60,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00014055.7%78 W · 62 L+15.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+22.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes7c57,568$4,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,296.582,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49c…9786backed Yes5c51,953$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.631529.9%15 W · 137 L-0.3wins0.00per pick10cpaid-49.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe944…650cbacked Yes11c41,347$4,651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,65111133.3%37 W · 74 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes7c36,564$2,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,559.4674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes2c36,106$787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$786.9114715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440a…035abacked Yes30c33,305$9,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,858.961414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-54.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes5c32,515$1,641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,640.612,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes5c28,968$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,453.8353920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed No78c26,420$20,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,919.726842.6%29 W · 39 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x333d…134ebacked Yes19c26,316$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick27cpaid-70.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f00…73cebacked Yes12c25,500$3,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0605728.1%16 W · 41 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf77e…b594backed Yes1c25,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340953.2%3 W · 92 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick1cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Yes11c24,116$2,705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,705.419038.9%74 W · 116 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes7c23,561$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,649.287433.8%25 W · 49 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-40%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No79c23,309$18,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,788.031,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes5c22,493$1,157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,157.4365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes9c21,531$1,898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,897.962,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Yes22c21,484$4,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,755.3125844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes12c19,103$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.3131945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c19,000$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2421468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Yes6c15,538$922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921.526114.8%9 W · 52 L-6.1wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-46.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes12c15,181$1,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,821.7131611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes6c12,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7509443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked Yes5c12,305$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579.831226.6%8 W · 114 L-0.2wins0.00per pick7cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c12,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6032031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes1c11,027$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes8c10,998$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861.2110012%12 W · 88 L+0.3wins0.00per pick12cpaid-46.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes19c10,860$2,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,064.154,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes15c10,144$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.733,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00010959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes7c10,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009642.7%41 W · 55 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x90bf…99ebbacked Yes5c10,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005117.6%9 W · 42 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-68.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes6c9,236$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.1548441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0874…6277backed Yes10c9,039$904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903.873026.7%8 W · 22 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick16cpaid+4.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes1c8,466$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.4145528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes8c7,390$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.3595037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes15c7,365$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.0579231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Yes5c7,000$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.3147643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x248c…26b6backed Yes4c7,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2805147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Yes11c6,780$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.5742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes10c6,038$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$613.333337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Yes7c6,000$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4201,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes14c5,882$833 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.5241968.3%286 W · 133 L+65.4wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+43.6%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes12c5,833$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5779…54adbacked Yes25c5,600$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-78.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes19c5,470$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,039.331,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c5,461$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf393…9b65backed Yes0c5,378$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3810624.5%26 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes31c5,332$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.1122959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x209b…5706backed Yes7c5,271$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.968845.5%40 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x49d6…ea7bbacked Yes19c5,263$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0009225%23 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-45.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdcb…36c9backed Yes5c4,800$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402615.4%4 W · 22 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-36.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes5c4,678$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.021,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes11c4,545$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes5c4,500$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.1872722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes10c4,473$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.9738734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes4c4,350$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5232639%127 W · 199 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Yes13c4,257$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.8724443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes8c4,150$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33260511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Yes5c4,095$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.7647442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb470…ba61backed Yes22c4,027$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.712133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-48.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes3c4,002$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1936139.1%141 W · 220 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e63…d208backed Yes15c3,939$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002213.6%3 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-70%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes3c3,678$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.1934438.4%132 W · 212 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked No67c3,589$2,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.3749441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Yes3c3,405$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.6136335.8%130 W · 233 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Yes12c3,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023440.2%94 W · 140 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2568…ef92backed Yes5c3,187$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.3630751.1%157 W · 150 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38fb…d07cbacked Yes19c3,158$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600180%0 W · 18 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed Yes7c3,142$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.9278234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed No79c3,040$2,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Yes5c3,031$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5447144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fe7…34c3backed Yes5c3,000$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504515.6%7 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Yes11c2,928$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.0858049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes5c2,900$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145417.3%3 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick14cpaid-61.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes5c2,841$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.0550243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa754…08ccbacked Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae68…7f0cbacked Yes21c2,371$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4904027.5%11 W · 29 L-7.1wins-0.18per pick45cpaid-52%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb865…a77bbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200290%0 W · 29 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05e1…85a2backed Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011025.5%28 W · 82 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed No69c2,215$1,536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.5743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes14c2,180$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.614,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes17c2,124$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.393542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…9b53backed Yes15c2,121$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.939034.4%31 W · 59 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdaa3…d259backed Yes6c2,114$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.863520%7 W · 28 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-54.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Yes16c2,031$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32014757.8%85 W · 62 L+16.7wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Yes24c2,026$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.1410932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026940.9%110 W · 159 L+7.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x293f…26a1backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005123.5%12 W · 39 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc13…3d29backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.