TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,152,066
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,949,887

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,152,066 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 959 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes12c372,638$44,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,716.633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No77c249,802$193,573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,229.212,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50f0…5355backed Yes14c104,703$14,166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,166.293844.7%17 W · 21 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes17c99,910$17,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,437.5724441.8%102 W · 142 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes24c94,572$22,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,723.524,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No70c72,070$50,347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,722.961,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes24c67,302$16,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,240.7849441.5%205 W · 289 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+13.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No76c59,085$44,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,467.881,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7124…f0b5backed Yes27c57,518$15,333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,332.562835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid+20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed No73c55,041$40,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,893.8521738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Yes15c44,444$6,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,666.66749.3%33 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed No76c38,414$29,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,327.4134964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked No78c37,890$29,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,342.0914250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb014…a357backed Yes25c34,873$8,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,670.0315642.9%67 W · 89 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes30c30,666$9,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,124.1922959.4%136 W · 93 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed Yes24c27,083$6,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5003520%7 W · 28 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd990…4866backed Yes22c25,297$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,650.19955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes20c24,571$4,985 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,985.448,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes16c21,953$3,619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,618.823,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…1a2abacked Yes12c20,814$2,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,497.737133.8%24 W · 47 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e3d…8554backed No77c20,194$15,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,548.52560%15 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes12c19,983$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,397.921,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…b06abacked Yes30c18,726$5,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,616.845320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes29c17,241$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-21.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Yes1c17,092$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.211468.2%12 W · 134 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick2cpaid+90.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes26c16,880$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,409.9179231.1%246 W · 546 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc087…dbbabacked Yes29c16,861$4,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,903.657541.3%31 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+46.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes22c16,060$3,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,536.763,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x122c…fbedbacked No77c16,025$12,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,643.6731232.4%101 W · 211 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5964…776bbacked Yes13c15,385$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009443.6%41 W · 53 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+3.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6d1…b590backed Yes30c13,084$3,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.33966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd471…edf8backed No72c12,948$9,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,625.436645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No76c12,693$9,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,096.662,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked No78c12,419$9,694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.2833337.8%126 W · 207 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-40.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No74c11,850$8,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,080.9622139.8%88 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09ef…c356backed Yes38c11,216$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.12650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc57f…c909backed Yes15c11,000$1,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6503458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+9.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f1a…bc89backed Yes29c10,344$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.7610959.6%65 W · 44 L+9.7wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed No78c10,142$7,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.3742043.1%181 W · 239 L-7.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee67…ef38backed Yes16c10,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6009323.7%22 W · 71 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes24c9,848$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,363.4432031.6%101 W · 219 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-17.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes15c9,338$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.770244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes16c9,332$1,494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.822,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes12c8,917$1,055 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,054.5145528.4%129 W · 326 L-1.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes13c7,864$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,020.2270750.1%354 W · 353 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f98…c81abacked Yes29c7,492$2,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,172.686134.4%21 W · 40 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes10c7,309$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.056152.5%32 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed No76c7,259$5,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,747.317237.5%27 W · 45 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed Yes14c7,130$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.28355.4%46 W · 37 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes16c6,964$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,119.6795037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…cb34backed Yes30c6,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0007740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes25c6,266$1,562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.171,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4fd…748bbacked Yes24c6,250$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50014727.2%40 W · 107 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15ec…267dbacked Yes29c6,131$1,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,777.8727845.7%127 W · 151 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No72c6,114$4,399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,715.1342541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x853c…bd03backed Yes30c6,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7702634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50058926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes25c5,640$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,400.321,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed No77c5,458$4,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,238.9924443%105 W · 139 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed Yes24c5,269$1,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,264.457636.8%28 W · 48 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea1a…ac77backed No69c5,100$3,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5811957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e87…da91backed Yes29c4,962$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.012347.8%11 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+30.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3355…dd2fbacked No70c4,725$3,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.54235.7%15 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f34…7684backed Yes17c4,620$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.365835%230 W · 428 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked No76c4,583$3,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,121.631945.5%145 W · 174 L-0.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c32…3f1cbacked No79c4,471$3,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.3824939%97 W · 152 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Yes43c4,444$1,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,910.9242345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Yes10c4,444$444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bc3…7a59backed Yes10c4,400$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.99250%0 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69f0…fb27backed Yes13c4,357$551 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.8735035.7%125 W · 225 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf40…598bbacked Yes12c4,117$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.991414.3%2 W · 12 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-75.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes12c4,002$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.3733237.3%124 W · 208 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1605824.1%14 W · 44 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes27c4,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes25c3,923$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128b…7c4fbacked Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick22cpaid+68.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a25…b124backed Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005018%9 W · 41 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55a8…7245backed Yes13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5008725.3%22 W · 65 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8135…24fdbacked Yes26c3,846$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007346.6%34 W · 39 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Yes12c3,680$442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.5771638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a79…64afbacked Yes24c3,666$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.951546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb68…e362backed Yes12c3,585$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.9634238.6%132 W · 210 L-1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed Yes12c3,315$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.3235734.5%123 W · 234 L-0.8wins0.00per pick35cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef33…6be3backed Yes13c3,077$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4009232.6%30 W · 62 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-19.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes26c3,022$790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789.7893542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes28c2,995$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.1721141.7%88 W · 123 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee4b…c2e4backed Yes42c2,940$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2356750.7%34 W · 33 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No73c2,862$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.7471939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6495…0181backed Yes36c2,778$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00011855.9%66 W · 52 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+17.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5cc5…b83abacked Yes1c2,772$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.723935.9%14 W · 25 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+39.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc88f…d893backed Yes24c2,719$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.4810932.1%35 W · 74 L-9.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x468a…c764backed Yes43c2,685$1,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,154.562665.4%17 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No71c2,642$1,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.514,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c73…6dafbacked Yes27c2,634$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7009144%40 W · 51 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes39c2,564$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00065948.6%320 W · 339 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5f…6b9cbacked Yes13c2,562$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3335422.2%12 W · 42 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09c6…291ebacked Yes40c2,447$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.778647.7%41 W · 45 L-7.5wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe617…d948backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec8f…8df8backed No77c2,423$1,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$548.615746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes24c2,361$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.