Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa987d66c77a00fa00f25d8ace3d63e41f93358b77a5287c75c5a3e81aa46694b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,439
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,200
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,439 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 8c | 1,380$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.13 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 74c | 1,327$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.58 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe58b…d323backed Yes | 12c | 561.46$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.9 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 12c | 354.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed No | 76c | 266.92$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.48 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Yes | 13c | 263.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 457 | 36.3%166 W · 291 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed Yes | 14c | 250.02$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 14c | 208.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 21c | 179.19$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 12c | 150.31$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.68 | 293 | 7.5%22 W · 271 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 17c | 137.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…0165backed Yes | 26c | 131.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.3 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b25…ff39backed Yes | 26c | 131.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b0…acdebacked Yes | 26c | 130$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.8 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 18c | 125$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3650…d17cbacked Yes | 26c | 118.75$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.88 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Yes | 10c | 111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…74f9backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked No | 72c | 90$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 85 | 72.9%62 W · 23 L | +7.4wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1075…19c1backed Yes | 26c | 72.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 82 | 18.3%15 W · 67 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 74c | 65.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…5bdfbacked Yes | 16c | 65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Yes | 23c | 62.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed Yes | 24c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…864fbacked Yes | 20c | 53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63f…793cbacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…0ac8backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48c…8ec6backed Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b38abacked Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf0…9180backed Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa552…3306backed Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74b…3241backed Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 79c | 35.71$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x272d…9e36backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7734…4193backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Lamine Yamal score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.