Fifa International · resolved market
Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d94853784b1239d74445b268a3d6d25e88c2305cbacecc7ad6a4197be554695
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,695
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 10c | 4,092$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.18 | 589 | 26.8%158 W · 431 L | -30.5wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…fcdbbacked Yes | 6c | 2,880$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad42…e38fbacked Yes | 6c | 1,200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x385c…a385backed No | 50c | 1,193$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.02 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa661…af49backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2928…f7a9backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed No | 80c | 627.51$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.51 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed Yes | 17c | 602.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc09…81f8backed Yes | 9c | 543.48$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Yes | 32c | 491.69$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.91 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 53c | 478.87$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.36 | 139 | 57.6%80 W · 59 L | +18.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…5c91backed Yes | 50c | 438.79$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 20c | 428.66$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.83 | 188 | 48.9%92 W · 96 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf650…6bf8backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d57…fdecbacked Yes | 6c | 368.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed Yes | 20c | 315.4$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.23 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…e99bbacked No | 51c | 286.62$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.72 | 138 | 55.1%76 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 27c | 281.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a74…9a36backed No | 73c | 279.38$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.81 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 72c | 279$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.12 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Yes | 44c | 250.92$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.04 | 403 | 55.3%223 W · 180 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…9722backed No | 67c | 217.34$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.65 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 14c | 200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 29c | 188.49$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.59 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9d…930fbacked Yes | 53c | 183.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 180 | 37.2%67 W · 113 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 15c | 181.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 167.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.11 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e93…9082backed Yes | 55c | 165.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4682…4d40backed Yes | 7c | 148.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 52c | 145.19$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a55…7274backed Yes | 10c | 134.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed No | 46c | 122.98$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.4 | 481 | 40.1%193 W · 288 L | -17.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e53abacked No | 72c | 117.35$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed No | 35c | 106.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.6wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 106.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a69…228fbacked No | 66c | 101.52$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x804f…64febacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f2…d1f0backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf6d…f13bbacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd3…1a5abacked Yes | 26c | 98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3183…c5ebbacked Yes | 52c | 86.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bb…8dd5backed Yes | 61c | 75.34$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +111%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 130 | 51.5%67 W · 63 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4e…b38cbacked Yes | 53c | 70$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a28…a16ebacked No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Yes | 27c | 61.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 129 | 36.4%47 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…bebebacked Yes | 51c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.56 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed Yes | 57c | 52.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 162 | 46.9%76 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd7…96d3backed No | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa127…106fbacked Yes | 20c | 50.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c91…5cccbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…bf77backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18dc…5e90backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 144 | 36.1%52 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 42c | 41.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 180 | 53.3%96 W · 84 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b16…a327backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes | 62c | 32.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 172 | 17.4%30 W · 142 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 43c | 28.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3b…392bbacked No | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…4bf5backed No | 64c | 23.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 82 | 68.3%56 W · 26 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4e…804cbacked No | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e91…a1b7backed Yes | 61c | 20.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 84 | 11.9%10 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc97…60aebacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked Yes | 58c | 19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lamine Yamal score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?this page
- Will Lamine Yamal score 1+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes won
- Will Lamine Yamal score 2+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
- Will Lamine Yamal score 6+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.