Fifa International · resolved market
Will Morocco finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x38a6fa77b0f882faaa2cd4d2ed2a6b26df20311ac36cc0349421608e3a1151a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,538
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,638
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,538 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa712…982cbacked Yes | 49c | 2,592$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.1 | 152 | 53.3%81 W · 71 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Yes | 66c | 1,120$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.19 | 252 | 44.8%113 W · 139 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5246…cb03backed Yes | 51c | 740$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.18 | 121 | 28.1%34 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb3…60d2backed No | 51c | 640.13$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 57c | 527.32$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.99 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…331abacked No | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 104 | 41.3%43 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 52c | 361.36$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.49 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 51c | 352$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.32 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 51c | 305$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.55 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…ce32backed No | 44c | 293.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.61 | 133 | 30.1%40 W · 93 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes | 49c | 250$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 764 | 45.9%351 W · 413 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 302 | 41.4%125 W · 177 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbfb…550cbacked Yes | 50c | 198.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.04 | 168 | 39.9%67 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 43c | 185$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.12 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 50c | 161.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.31 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 16c | 160.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 802 | 25.7%206 W · 596 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 50c | 145$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.8 | 285 | 54.4%155 W · 130 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed No | 40c | 136.35$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.25 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 47c | 113$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.89 | 282 | 56.7%160 W · 122 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 53c | 112$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 148 | 58.8%87 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7b…2a5fbacked No | 50c | 102.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f7…0312backed Yes | 53c | 87.78$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.26 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 26c | 82.46$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 427 | 37.2%159 W · 268 L | -15.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 43c | 81.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.63 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…51d5backed No | 54c | 77.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 45c | 77.76$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.04 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 33c | 77.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 486 | 36.6%178 W · 308 L | -48.4wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x168f…9e00backed Yes | 49c | 77$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 235 | 43%101 W · 134 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f6…e3f8backed Yes | 67c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 44c | 67.28$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 662 | 39.6%262 W · 400 L | -48.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6406…bc04backed No | 51c | 61.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.17 | 109 | 66.1%72 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 254 | 43.7%111 W · 143 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c65…dcf7backed Yes | 46c | 59.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed Yes | 52c | 56.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.04 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60bb…b145backed Yes | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…b108backed Yes | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x970e…b78dbacked No | 50c | 40.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed No | 52c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 166 | 46.4%77 W · 89 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4a…4256backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…6e31backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 376 | 44.9%169 W · 207 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x610e…b852backed Yes | 42c | 36.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 18cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 53c | 30.01$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2882…c53dbacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 52c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x493c…cf1bbacked Yes | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…8725backed Yes | 46c | 29.55$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc84d…c11abacked Yes | 53c | 28.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 52c | 24.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…1828backed Yes | 51c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…1351backed No | 52c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35ee…1b59backed Yes | 50c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa38d…7ad9backed No | 51c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -41%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 53c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc21d…e3c6backed No | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…179ebacked Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…0035backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 117 | 48.7%57 W · 60 L | -15.0wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Morocco finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?this page
- Will Brazil finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
- Will Scotland finish second in Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.