Tennis · resolved market
ITF W35 Erwitte Women: Valentina Steiner vs Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61141826e08993d23b86ebc7d0f714203786d1854435e7c241d6f2c304686c78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valentina Steinerof Valentina Steiner, Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,782
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,782 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valentina Steiner | 52c | 1,807$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$865.49 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb524…0808backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 69c | 1,536$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.22 | 163 | 55.8%91 W · 72 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf4…d5c4backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 59c | 932.47$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.89 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 32c | 907.09$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.27 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 41c | 578.83$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.32 | 118 | 46.6%55 W · 63 L | -7.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Valentina Steiner | 79c | 193.16$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 1,008 | 57.7%582 W · 426 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba86…9ab0backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 50c | 184.68$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 681 | 39.1%266 W · 415 L | -30.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Valentina Steiner | 44c | 174.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.11 | 654 | 37.5%245 W · 409 L | -33.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Valentina Steiner | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 59c | 140$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4a…ad4cbacked Valentina Steiner | 79c | 113.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.38 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Valentina Steiner | 44c | 111.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…e3eebacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 42c | 104.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…da3bbacked Valentina Steiner | 36c | 103.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 381 | 48.3%184 W · 197 L | +28.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a71…be9fbacked Valentina Steiner | 79c | 103.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 64c | 101$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.33 | 2,043 | 47.8%977 W · 1,066 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…c89ebacked Valentina Steiner | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Valentina Steiner | 37c | 95.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.23 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valentina Steiner | 35c | 81.86$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 32c | 60.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 577 | 36.7%212 W · 365 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Valentina Steiner | 44c | 59.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.11 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Valentina Steiner | 46c | 57.2$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.92 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 60c | 35.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Valentina Steiner | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Valentina Steiner | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Valentina Steiner | 46c | 31.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Valentina Steiner | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.49 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Valentina Steiner | 39c | 25.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur | 62c | 24.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 89 | 77.5%69 W · 20 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.