Tennis · resolved market
Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad8ffbb71567995642e8b86f0746d012c01abf47cba37f6fb5ee08f1bb9bba50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hugo Grenierof Hugo Grenier, Neil Oberleitner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $84,375
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Neil Oberleitner | 2c | 7,837$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.74 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Neil Oberleitner | 3c | 6,121$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.17 | 105 | 31.4%33 W · 72 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Neil Oberleitner | 17c | 5,275$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.62 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Neil Oberleitner | 7c | 5,116$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Neil Oberleitner | 4c | 3,361$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.38 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Neil Oberleitner | 13c | 2,545$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.54 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Neil Oberleitner | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Neil Oberleitner | 2c | 2,273$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe23d…3c72backed Neil Oberleitner | 2c | 2,190$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 51 | 7.8%4 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Neil Oberleitner | 13c | 1,588$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Hugo Grenier | 77c | 1,151$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.98 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Hugo Grenier | 76c | 1,000$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.23 | 295 | 52.2%154 W · 141 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hugo Grenier | 70c | 987.01$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.36 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed Hugo Grenier | 73c | 860.4$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.31 | 369 | 46.9%173 W · 196 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Neil Oberleitner | 3c | 854.49$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0e…1cebbacked Neil Oberleitner | 3c | 719.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 209 | 39.7%83 W · 126 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Neil Oberleitner | 3c | 680$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 213 | 17.4%37 W · 176 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Hugo Grenier | 71c | 541.92$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.35 | 883 | 58.2%514 W · 369 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e65…694fbacked Hugo Grenier | 68c | 517.57$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.29 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Neil Oberleitner | 15c | 516.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Neil Oberleitner | 31c | 500$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.37 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Neil Oberleitner | 3c | 472$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 87 | 10.3%9 W · 78 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Neil Oberleitner | 32c | 416.89$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.16 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Neil Oberleitner | 3c | 403.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Neil Oberleitner | 3c | 381.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 910 | 51%464 W · 446 L | +23.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hugo Grenier | 76c | 244.54$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.85 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Hugo Grenier | 68c | 231.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hugo Grenier | 71c | 160$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed Hugo Grenier | 76c | 150$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 190 | 41.6%79 W · 111 L | -16.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Neil Oberleitner | 31c | 146.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.44 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Neil Oberleitner | 21c | 137.19$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.41 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed Hugo Grenier | 75c | 132.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 470 | 58.5%275 W · 195 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x335a…e3eebacked Neil Oberleitner | 33c | 132.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.68 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Hugo Grenier | 74c | 121$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 1,065 | 54.7%583 W · 482 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Neil Oberleitner | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…5e19backed Hugo Grenier | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Hugo Grenier | 74c | 99.99$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 1,795 | 46.6%837 W · 958 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Neil Oberleitner | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Hugo Grenier | 70c | 84.06$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 736 | 48.1%354 W · 382 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Neil Oberleitner | 25c | 81.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55a8…e802backed Hugo Grenier | 68c | 79.41$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.41 | 363 | 42.1%153 W · 210 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…331cbacked Hugo Grenier | 73c | 70$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 348 | 64.1%223 W · 125 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Hugo Grenier | 75c | 66$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…ae14backed Hugo Grenier | 69c | 63.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.77 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Neil Oberleitner | 24c | 56.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb720…da75backed Hugo Grenier | 78c | 51.28$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 351 | 64.7%227 W · 124 L | +20.8wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Hugo Grenier | 78c | 49.84$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 221 | 52.9%117 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Neil Oberleitner | 22c | 49.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Neil Oberleitner | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Hugo Grenier | 72c | 33.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8087…a213backed Hugo Grenier | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 372 | 66.7%248 W · 124 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Hugo Grenier | 76c | 27$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…f972backed Hugo Grenier | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x963d…9544backed Hugo Grenier | 69c | 26.1$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403c…7f06backed Hugo Grenier | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Hugo Grenier | 78c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.96 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked Hugo Grenier | 74c | 16.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 239 | 54.8%131 W · 108 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Winston-Salem Open, Qualification: Hugo Grenier vs Neil Oberleitnerthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Grenier vs OberleitnerGrenier won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.